Fifa International · resolved market
Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf417d04b7709dcdf96247ac2ba98b4f558f57b4aecfb95f5beac6fc7ef107956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 0c | 99,382$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 1c | 3,028$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 2c | 1,442$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 3c | 1,090$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d02…6255backed Yes | 7c | 1,032$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yes | 7c | 759.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…acbcbacked Yes | 2c | 626.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 573.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…faddbacked Yes | 3c | 569.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…cf1cbacked Yes | 3c | 459.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…c6c1backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed Yes | 11c | 377.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…b44ebacked Yes | 9c | 149.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…9b0ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 71c | 20.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Colombia finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Portugal finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.