Fifa International · resolved market
Will Colombia finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a3d447db7409e9139ca417d314d83652a5e4d566a9bc836b9bc13e69dd15e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 47c | 736.42$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.6 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 52c | 647.62$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.36 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 52c | 558.1$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.71 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 51c | 550.64$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.53 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 50c | 463.93$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.36 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 13c | 456$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 53c | 340$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 48c | 219.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 48c | 207.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…e182backed No | 52c | 196.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 166.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 48c | 163.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1d…d730backed Yes | 37c | 135.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 54c | 105.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 71c | 97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 44c | 82.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 77.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1a…7a49backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 29c | 66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e70…5a92backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed No | 49c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…3afabacked No | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf56…4610backed Yes | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -61%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 168 | 47%79 W · 89 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…ef3dbacked No | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…8227backed No | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…2db0backed No | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…2672backed No | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b93…40fbbacked No | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…b667backed Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 48c | 31.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…44dabacked No | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 213 | 62%132 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2882…c53dbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…17b5backed No | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…a580backed No | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…64e0backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 47c | 27.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…599ebacked No | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…4206backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed Yes | 48c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 48c | 23.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…362cbacked Yes | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…7085backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…a8b2backed No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…a99abacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…54f6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -15.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colombia finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Portugal finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.