Middle East · resolved market
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ceab60f9942ddccac459fb4a5ac5505e4757874e974e9fbf513ec782c587c5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb75…27a3backed Yes | 42c | 23,649$10,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,024.65 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 28c | 13,285$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.51 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f6…3075backed No | 64c | 7,915$5,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.28 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed Yes | 49c | 7,678$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…11bdbacked No | 75c | 7,541$5,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 73c | 5,671$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.81 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes | 40c | 4,949$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.51 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed No | 62c | 4,837$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.71 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…724cbacked Yes | 27c | 4,474$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…d64dbacked Yes | 38c | 4,250$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +511.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 57c | 4,211$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.78 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5969…5bedbacked No | 75c | 4,068$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked No | 78c | 3,474$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.86 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…aa58backed No | 65c | 3,447$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.98 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…3239backed No | 59c | 3,350$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,277$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.81 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed No | 61c | 3,115$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.19 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,961$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 78c | 2,931$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.61 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…b33ebacked No | 68c | 2,912$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.79 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 32c | 2,866$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.94 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 30c | 2,591$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.36 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 64c | 2,541$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 38c | 2,474$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…257dbacked No | 63c | 2,419$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 23c | 2,250$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 63c | 2,188$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.87 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…9487backed Yes | 26c | 2,178$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.54 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 66c | 2,149$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.01 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.33 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 39c | 1,927$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.93 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…2c91backed Yes | 25c | 1,867$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.03 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…2d87backed No | 55c | 1,866$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.17 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +259.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 55c | 1,822$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.52 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…def7backed Yes | 32c | 1,818$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…517dbacked No | 49c | 1,800$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 37c | 1,786$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.89 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 26c | 1,742$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.52 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed No | 69c | 1,730$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 49c | 1,710$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.05 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 42c | 1,708$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.52 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 63c | 1,687$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.08 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed Yes | 25c | 1,623$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.52 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,599$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.46 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,413$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.39 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 24c | 1,379$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.41 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 44c | 1,349$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.65 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 58c | 1,334$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.51 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…5a2ebacked No | 61c | 1,299$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.07 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 68c | 1,283$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.45 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 54c | 1,267$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.26 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 41c | 1,150$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.49 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed No | 75c | 1,145$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.86 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…0a93backed No | 64c | 1,136$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.15 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…3afebacked No | 70c | 1,123$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed No | 56c | 1,104$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.96 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…b6e1backed No | 33c | 1,050$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +91%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…c444backed Yes | 40c | 1,044$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.76 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,028$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.89 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 51c | 1,009$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.72 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…f2c5backed Yes | 35c | 999.65$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed No | 65c | 981.43$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.69 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 963.16$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.96 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…447fbacked No | 73c | 958.81$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8794…fa1bbacked Yes | 3c | 951.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 70c | 919.14$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.92 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b93…259ebacked Yes | 38c | 904.89$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e13…a801backed No | 58c | 902.03$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…ff39backed No | 34c | 870.46$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.24 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 22c | 844.88$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.84 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…65ecbacked No | 47c | 840.78$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.06 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 830.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 35c | 829.04$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 71c | 801.21$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.51 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 63c | 800.51$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.27 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 37c | 800$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…dcf9backed No | 74c | 792.22$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 73c | 787.89$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.89 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…454fbacked No | 72c | 780$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed No | 53c | 760.79$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.79 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…d242backed No | 75c | 760.5$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.18 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…bbd8backed No | 53c | 754.05$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed No | 60c | 717.11$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…ac80backed No | 71c | 704.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 2c | 699.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 698.2$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.31 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6d…5453backed No | 57c | 689.86$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.95 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed No | 62c | 658$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…b488backed No | 62c | 648.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 36c | 642.22$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.22 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…1196backed No | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed No | 64c | 591.93$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.93 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 55c | 567.17$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.58 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 58c | 565.55$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.4 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…28e9backed No | 67c | 558.32$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bac2backed No | 73c | 549.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…ab2fbacked Yes | 39c | 534.55$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…302abacked Yes | 59c | 529.4$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 31c | 511$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.26 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.