TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,414 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed No1c3,762$25 inLost-$25.231,1366.3%72 W · 1,064 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No3c795$27 inLost-$26.661227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ed…2574backed No43c234.05$100 inLost-$1001921.1%4 W · 15 L-7.2wins-0.38per pick59cpaid-71%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked No6c228.34$13 inLost-$13.476616.7%11 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8936…d010backed Yes56c215.04$120 inWon+$94.654634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4575…9628backed No6c192.51$12 inLost-$12.384816.7%8 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-62.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes67c150$100 inWon+$5069634.9%243 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No21c101.95$21 inLost-$20.9133618.5%62 W · 274 L-46.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-60%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Yes71c100$71 inWon+$28.9219236.5%70 W · 122 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d0…f655backed Yes60c97$58 inWon+$38.984247.6%20 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes62c95$59 inWon+$36.3525241.7%105 W · 147 L-17.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No23c93$21 inLost-$21.166832.4%22 W · 46 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfcd…c0f2backed No30c86$26 inLost-$25.88250%0 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No38c77$29 inLost-$28.881,07335.5%381 W · 692 L-70.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked No35c46.4$16 inLost-$16.244727.7%13 W · 34 L-13.0wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-59.9%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked No35c45.9$16 inLost-$16.072642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd72…6cc4backed No36c43.86$16 inLost-$15.793327.3%9 W · 24 L-8.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-61%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7491…ada0backed No36c43.86$16 inLost-$15.793342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes59c33.48$20 inWon+$13.7311529.6%34 W · 81 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes56c33$18 inWon+$14.621250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b2…b7febacked Yes66c23.7$16 inWon+$7.993253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.