TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x45b2…cbc1backed No13c1,230$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.93218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes61c1,156$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.274182.9%34 W · 7 L+10.5wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+42%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xbfcd…c0f2backed No10c465$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6250%0 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No68c400$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.619236.5%70 W · 122 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b78…4d2fbacked No59c330.55$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.032524%6 W · 19 L-10.0wins-0.40per pick64cpaid-66.7%equal weight28-0.20 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No35c264$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.646832.4%22 W · 46 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc934…5551backed No19c250$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5258%2 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d4…d3aabacked No60c215.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.99170%0 W · 17 L-10.3wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight23-0.25 edge/pick
0x8936…d010backed No58c214.05$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.534634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.569634.9%243 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed No15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.09633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes35c195.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12710135.6%36 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…d4a9backed No19c183.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.23306.7%2 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-49.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes42c115.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.298015%12 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-54.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe08…d3aebacked No60c75.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No65c69.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4825241.7%105 W · 147 L-17.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No32c47.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9133618.5%62 W · 274 L-46.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-60%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes44c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4936527.1%99 W · 266 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55d0…f655backed Yes30c44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.944247.6%20 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes44c41.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9933627.4%92 W · 244 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7fe…1e42backed No78c28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.842450%12 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked No47c27.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136616.7%11 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0711…f03cbacked No63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.622641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.