Us Politics · resolved market

Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe75389201871d078541a812c1b2eccc61a6e20dfaa24f5cd6ddd9d7b22b75c52

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,350 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes	75c	1,373$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.38	184	25%46 W · 138 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcd…c0f2backed No	16c	437.5$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.85	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-6.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb0d4…d3aabacked No	38c	418.94$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.89	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-10.3wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	23-0.25 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No	14c	416$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.24	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ed…2574backed No	42c	238.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-7.2wins	-0.38per pick	59cpaid	-71%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	62c	210$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	696	34.9%243 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9df2…d4a9backed No	17c	150$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc934…5551backed No	17c	150$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b2…b7febacked Yes	61c	147.24$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.61	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8936…d010backed No	38c	131.26$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.85	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d31…75d9backed Yes	56c	120$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.8	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No	28c	106$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	-8.1wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	62c	95.89$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.24	80	15%12 W · 68 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked No	41c	92.8$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.05	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-13.0wins	-0.28per pick	55cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	30-0.18 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	66c	51.73$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.73	252	41.7%105 W · 147 L	-17.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2420…ce7fbacked No	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-4.7wins	-0.31per pick	64cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked No	27c	48.14$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	66	16.7%11 W · 55 L	-7.5wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd72…6cc4backed No	40c	46.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-8.0wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-61%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x97c2…55d6backed No	40c	46.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-4.9wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-40%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4575…9628backed No	27c	44.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-6.1wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe102…71dfbacked Yes	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	41c	38.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.88	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes	59c	33.89$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.89	336	27.4%92 W · 244 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	365	27.1%99 W · 266 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8341…de89backed Yes	72c	26$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+5.0wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+65.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed Yes	62c	24.19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-7.5wins	-0.11per pick	68cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Yes	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event