Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x327c6cc636c64068917cc30cc76cfb87eac264ae01cff278c970990eb1544bd9

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,516,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,213,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,516,822 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 718 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5b9f…0fc9backed Yes	0c	100,400$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…3fb6backed Yes	1c	52,010$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e7…93cabacked Yes	0c	50,065$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc727…2b13backed Yes	0c	37,900$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.9	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6642…12efbacked Yes	0c	25,118$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.7	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	36c	22,635$8,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,227.06	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	31c	19,000$5,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,823.09	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	16c	16,355$2,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,558.4	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	30c	15,681$4,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,634.66	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1da3…24d6backed No	71c	14,683$10,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,311.63	76	13.2%10 W · 66 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	19c	14,000$2,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,658.42	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	5c	12,895$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.64	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	31c	12,880$4,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,020.97	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	28c	12,602$3,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,488.28	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	24c	12,267$2,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,895.26	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba62…283fbacked Yes	0c	11,101$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.63	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	42c	10,823$4,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,506.64	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	11c	10,625$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.47	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	20c	10,477$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,142.3	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	50c	10,303$5,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,171.97	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	21c	10,225$2,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,168.38	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d5…2558backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	22c	9,068$2,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,023.91	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	40c	8,583$3,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,392.48	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	9c	7,880$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.2	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	21c	7,459$1,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.62	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x804c…1658backed Yes	31c	7,000$2,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,153.16	103	21.4%22 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b8…565dbacked Yes	48c	6,813$3,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,256.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc11e…75c8backed Yes	6c	6,464$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.21	78	9%7 W · 71 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Yes	0c	6,356$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25af…298bbacked Yes	46c	6,233$2,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,883.27	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-71%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bb…9107backed Yes	20c	5,984$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220.43	110	14.5%16 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	70c	5,771$4,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,714.12	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	68c	5,758$3,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,868.09	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked Yes	6c	5,716$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.17	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	30c	5,451$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620.41	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes	19c	5,356$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…bd80backed Yes	22c	5,355$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172.57	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0e…1f6cbacked Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafcf…d662backed Yes	5c	4,942$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	+46%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Yes	34c	4,897$1,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,651.22	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	57c	4,422$2,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,518.24	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	74c	4,360$3,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.09	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f7e…d49bbacked Yes	21c	4,274$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.34	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	19c	4,136$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.21	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	37c	3,911$1,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,447	599	27%162 W · 437 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	45c	3,897$1,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,753.43	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	28c	3,859$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.18	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	42c	3,779$1,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,203.68	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x678b…24a4backed Yes	26c	3,717$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f2…50bebacked Yes	15c	3,632$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed Yes	17c	3,541$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	15c	3,399$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	54c	3,343$1,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,547.03	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed Yes	17c	3,191$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.15	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	22c	3,136$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.6	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	12c	3,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ce…5e1dbacked Yes	17c	2,987$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.88	89	9%8 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe26b…bee7backed Yes	33c	2,976$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.31	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	9c	2,957$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.38	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…fbf4backed Yes	1c	2,938$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.17	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e2…b8f5backed Yes	29c	2,784$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc295…dde9backed Yes	23c	2,600$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc059…a296backed Yes	2c	2,559$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.65	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…f962backed Yes	21c	2,527$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20fe…7968backed Yes	23c	2,470$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.8	88	19.3%17 W · 71 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x429b…2986backed Yes	14c	2,427$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.13	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdafe…c673backed Yes	20c	2,330$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.7	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No	61c	2,211$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.02	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	49c	2,170$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.05	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1c…aebebacked Yes	17c	2,165$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.75	131	21.4%28 W · 103 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Yes	16c	2,163$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344	264	10.6%28 W · 236 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	1c	2,100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed Yes	8c	2,059$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.45	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc17c…20ffbacked Yes	14c	2,052$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.78	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-90%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71df…d547backed Yes	63c	2,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b7…4a0ebacked No	38c	2,000$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,242.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+32%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…1081backed No	37c	2,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe410…8213backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	6c	2,000$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.32	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1663…7215backed No	37c	2,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+170.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef8…f6e6backed No	37c	2,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+170.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ea…d3d2backed Yes	63c	2,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae1…8902backed Yes	62c	2,000$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb05a…1530backed Yes	63c	2,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc426…2700backed Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	67	6%4 W · 63 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes	14c	1,989$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.92	124	12.1%15 W · 109 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	39c	1,910$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.75	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1897…ae71backed Yes	17c	1,909$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.77	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc168…5024backed Yes	43c	1,904$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.51	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x105e…cb39backed Yes	37c	1,874$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3986…01fdbacked Yes	22c	1,873$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.4	206	8.7%18 W · 188 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab19…4876backed Yes	34c	1,856$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	14c	1,840$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.68	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd635…9f1cbacked Yes	15c	1,839$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.37	67	7.5%5 W · 62 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	8c	1,800$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	17c	1,800$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.26	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b99…eda5backed Yes	23c	1,755$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event