Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b1d3e27de49ea25b72057d6b8d209379a1d7b35bda69937489a6e6177de51d4

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,044,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $594,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,044,612 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	63,746$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,149.57	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	5c	25,042$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.45	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	4c	18,376$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.1	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	18,109$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.64	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	3c	17,172$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.68	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc11e…75c8backed Yes	1c	16,581$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.43	78	9%7 W · 71 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	7c	13,241$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.21	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	9c	11,602$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.15	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	8c	11,221$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.24	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	2c	11,027$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.77	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	20c	10,567$2,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,067.7	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	8c	10,209$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.13	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1da3…24d6backed Yes	7c	9,957$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.15	76	13.2%10 W · 66 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	1c	9,501$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.87	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	15c	8,511$1,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.79	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	8,073$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.11	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	6c	7,668$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.72	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	7,403$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.59	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x804c…1658backed Yes	8c	7,289$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586	103	21.4%22 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25af…298bbacked Yes	21c	7,253$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.77	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-71%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	6,785$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	8c	6,449$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.28	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc736…1fc2backed Yes	1c	6,201$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.43	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	4c	6,050$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.71	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes	2c	6,000$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	149	23.5%35 W · 114 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd45…e49cbacked Yes	0c	5,813$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	17c	5,282$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.17	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	5,112$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.65	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	6c	5,013$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.54	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4789…8ff5backed Yes	1c	5,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	10c	4,857$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.22	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1264…31e5backed Yes	1c	4,830$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed Yes	11c	4,379$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.48	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1c…aebebacked Yes	5c	4,374$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.69	131	21.4%28 W · 103 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	4,281$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.42	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	5c	4,209$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.72	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	15c	4,169$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.7	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	10c	4,148$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.22	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	12c	4,127$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.21	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	12c	3,988$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.64	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	8c	3,908$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.85	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	15c	3,785$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.11	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	4c	3,464$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.54	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	5c	3,384$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.18	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88cb…2c20backed Yes	4c	3,175$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.76	108	11.1%12 W · 96 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Yes	4c	3,142$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.42	122	4.9%6 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+213.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	3,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes	3c	3,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	10c	2,989$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0d…26febacked Yes	7c	2,935$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…3fb6backed Yes	8c	2,934$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	6c	2,888$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.04	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	6c	2,721$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.4	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1453…959dbacked Yes	8c	2,644$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.63	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	9c	2,623$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.45	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc295…dde9backed Yes	24c	2,600$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	9c	2,547$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	12c	2,529$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.64	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec36…9ae3backed Yes	13c	2,410$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.91	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x429b…2986backed Yes	8c	2,327$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.28	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes	9c	2,300$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.11	98	9.2%9 W · 89 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed Yes	4c	2,262$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc289…f898backed Yes	9c	2,252$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	13c	2,217$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.2	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbea3…e34fbacked Yes	3c	2,046$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes	9c	2,015$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f24…c264backed Yes	9c	2,000$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.12	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	11c	2,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeceb…8d0dbacked Yes	1c	2,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	24c	1,950$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.65	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe26b…bee7backed Yes	12c	1,855$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.34	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	1,833$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa78e…b6c9backed Yes	3c	1,815$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e3…b2dfbacked Yes	10c	1,805$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	27cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5f…e63cbacked Yes	6c	1,731$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	1c	1,700$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked Yes	3c	1,700$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.07	181	23.8%43 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	2c	1,684$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.41	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f7…7c3bbacked Yes	6c	1,681$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.93	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	1,660$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.83	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb914…d12ebacked Yes	12c	1,656$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes	6c	1,627$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.58	182	4.9%9 W · 173 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Yes	13c	1,607$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.11	264	10.6%28 W · 236 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Yes	3c	1,596$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.77	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b1…aa63backed Yes	2c	1,590$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.23	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-52%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59f0…aa65backed Yes	6c	1,563$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes	5c	1,553$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	8c	1,538$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.2	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	3c	1,530$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.27	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	7c	1,523$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.3	261	5.4%14 W · 247 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	8c	1,523$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	9c	1,500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.03	138	9.4%13 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes	6c	1,500$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.3	124	12.1%15 W · 109 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77ac…47c2backed Yes	6c	1,500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes	9c	1,500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	158	12%19 W · 139 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	13c	1,454$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.77	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3986…01fdbacked Yes	18c	1,411$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.22	206	8.7%18 W · 188 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event