Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x702b1ab9e36e8bca2544f0c8e407554c72a64b592530e99e5512e8d8cfa052a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77b2…a190backed Yes | 0c | 57,502$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 31c | 22,736$7,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,009.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 13,133$10,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.53 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 10,491$7,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.42 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 6,902$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.03 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 6,830$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.17 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 70c | 3,702$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.18 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 2,814$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…25b5backed Yes | 29c | 2,617$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 6c | 2,310$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 1,766$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.93 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 75c | 1,609$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 1,176$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.76 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 72c | 1,049$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…30e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,045$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 852.88$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…7cbfbacked Yes | 30c | 722.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 31c | 646.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…503abacked Yes | 30c | 603$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…1a3abacked Yes | 11c | 598.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9098…8114backed Yes | 30c | 564$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ee…328cbacked Yes | 32c | 524.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…0225backed No | 70c | 436$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 394.06$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 390.16$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 4c | 375$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d2…0997backed Yes | 30c | 370$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…e2f2backed No | 70c | 362$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…9efcbacked Yes | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…fae5backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 31c | 320$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 31c | 310$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 66c | 303.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 31c | 300.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 30c | 269.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…959abacked Yes | 31c | 249.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7582…f6b2backed No | 70c | 241$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9d52backed No | 71c | 215.3$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 31c | 205.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 66c | 152.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 28c | 144$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…2edfbacked No | 70c | 128$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…282abacked No | 70c | 119$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked Yes | 31c | 97.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 31c | 80.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 70c | 70.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…8635backed Yes | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed No | 70c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 70c | 42.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…f981backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 74c | 28.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 78c | 28.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.