College Football · resolved market
Arizona vs. Houston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb888989167c4b0b162837b29a1cc1b74d617d6ff0bb49a62d62affaf7195f11e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houstonof Arizona, Houston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $868,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $989,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $868,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Houston | 48c | 422,841$202,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220,087.68 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Arizona | 53c | 258,624$135,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,820.61 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston | 64c | 62,255$39,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,481.69 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Houston | 47c | 60,624$28,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,939.44 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Arizona | 52c | 36,636$19,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,226.04 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Arizona | 18c | 34,508$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Arizona | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Arizona | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,749.98 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Arizona | 51c | 24,628$12,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,649.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Arizona | 43c | 21,176$9,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,182.67 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Arizona | 28c | 19,291$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.58 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Arizona | 52c | 16,050$8,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,346 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Arizona | 51c | 14,821$7,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500.66 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Arizona | 51c | 14,000$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,140 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona | 29c | 11,536$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.1 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Arizona | 53c | 10,600$5,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,618 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Arizona | 51c | 10,555$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,382.97 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Arizona | 19c | 10,425$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Arizona | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Arizona | 51c | 8,570$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370.91 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arizona | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Arizona | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona | 41c | 6,268$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.17 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Houston | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Houston | 55c | 3,307$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.31 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Houston | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Arizona | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Arizona | 51c | 2,517$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.5 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Arizona | 51c | 2,232$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.39 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Arizona | 52c | 2,211$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.85 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Arizona | 30c | 2,121$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.36 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…a5bebacked Houston | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…f797backed Arizona | 52c | 2,040$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Arizona | 2c | 2,040$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Arizona | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Arizona | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.59 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Arizona | 29c | 1,949$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Arizona | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…9938backed Arizona | 52c | 1,837$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…fa00backed Houston | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…20a9backed Houston | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…5098backed Arizona | 52c | 1,837$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9785backed Houston | 49c | 1,635$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…b12bbacked Arizona | 52c | 1,635$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona | 22c | 1,596$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.08 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Arizona | 51c | 1,563$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.13 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Arizona | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Arizona | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Houston | 74c | 1,454$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.61 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd412…9bafbacked Arizona | 52c | 1,170$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Arizona | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fb73backed Arizona | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…de7dbacked Houston | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…fd1bbacked Arizona | 52c | 1,142$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Houston | 48c | 1,100$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Arizona | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Houston | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Arizona | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Arizona | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Houston | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Arizona | 52c | 965$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.8 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…9a51backed Arizona | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dc…6e8fbacked Houston | 49c | 961.22$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…4625backed Houston | 50c | 959$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona | 41c | 939.97$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.34 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Houston | 49c | 932.98$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Arizona | 29c | 917.23$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Houston | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Houston | 66c | 745$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.18 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Houston | 49c | 645.3$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.1 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Arizona | 44c | 605$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.31 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Arizona | 51c | 576.47$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Houston | 78c | 539.02$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Houston | 49c | 537$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.87 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2343…6f72backed Houston | 48c | 531$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona | 51c | 428.19$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Houston | 63c | 393$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Arizona | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0f…c666backed Houston | 50c | 357$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arizona | 46c | 356$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Houston | 48c | 345.9$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…f922backed Houston | 50c | 345$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Arizona | 52c | 341$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.32 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c8…5219backed Houston | 50c | 329$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4614…f7afbacked Houston | 50c | 318$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…d5acbacked Arizona | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Arizona | 51c | 256$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Houston | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Houston | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Houston | 49c | 220.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Arizona | 36c | 218.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Arizona | 56c | 214.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona | 44c | 200.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Arizona | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arizona | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Houston | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Arizona | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Houston | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…e16cbacked Houston | 34c | 197.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Houston | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona vs. Houstonthis page
- O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona (-1.5)Houston won
- Spread: Houston (-1.5)Houston won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.