TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lincoln: Darwin Blanch vs Bernard Tomic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bernard Tomicof Darwin Blanch, Bernard Tomic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bernard Tomic44c9,461$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,257.558,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Darwin Blanch52c6,860$3,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,568.961,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Darwin Blanch68c6,105$4,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,175.284,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Bernard Tomic71c4,909$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.4844163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Darwin Blanch59c3,222$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.3741251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Darwin Blanch37c2,753$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.978,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bernard Tomic40c2,532$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.172,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Bernard Tomic65c1,824$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.72,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Bernard Tomic58c1,775$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.786,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Bernard Tomic63c1,687$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.784,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Darwin Blanch61c1,662$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629b…16babacked Darwin Blanch69c1,552$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.761764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Bernard Tomic66c1,515$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.922662.8%142 W · 84 L+15.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Darwin Blanch14c1,469$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.664,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Darwin Blanch15c1,360$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4715225%38 W · 114 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Bernard Tomic80c1,257$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1862956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Bernard Tomic51c1,255$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.763,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Darwin Blanch65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65070652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Darwin Blanch62c938.61$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.522,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Bernard Tomic34c897.75$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.243,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Darwin Blanch61c800$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.689,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Bernard Tomic35c800$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.431237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Bernard Tomic38c763.95$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.6510161.4%62 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d88…95bbbacked Bernard Tomic35c750$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.52142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Bernard Tomic35c736.24$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.063253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x552b…f8bcbacked Darwin Blanch17c697.96$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.371216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+105.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1c…4db8backed Bernard Tomic73c646.21$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.651478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Darwin Blanch46c607.03$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.48,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Darwin Blanch42c593.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Darwin Blanch61c578.46$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.8411832.2%38 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Darwin Blanch64c552.6$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.1210158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e93…9145backed Darwin Blanch61c545.12$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.844332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bernard Tomic38c499.94$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.963,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Bernard Tomic42c491.49$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.886,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Bernard Tomic46c422.53$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.275,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Bernard Tomic55c417$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.639759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Darwin Blanch12c402.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Bernard Tomic66c378.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9715956%89 W · 70 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Bernard Tomic37c367.46$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.654,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf202…9ea8backed Darwin Blanch63c354.24$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Bernard Tomic52c311.48$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.425,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Bernard Tomic34c304.43$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.037,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Darwin Blanch66c299.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2928747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Darwin Blanch66c297.6$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Bernard Tomic69c283.59$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.972,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Bernard Tomic51c277.92$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.692,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Bernard Tomic35c273.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0830647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Bernard Tomic34c255.3$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.138141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Bernard Tomic41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.918038.3%69 W · 111 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Bernard Tomic41c243.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.641637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Bernard Tomic24c225$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.032,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Bernard Tomic45c222.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7273350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Bernard Tomic34c221.58$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.412,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Darwin Blanch60c220$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5076…711abacked Bernard Tomic48c213.33$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.233148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x701c…b953backed Bernard Tomic41c210$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.97946.8%37 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Darwin Blanch60c206.25$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.731,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Darwin Blanch47c205.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.721,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Bernard Tomic64c201.69$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Bernard Tomic41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1187847.4%37 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed Bernard Tomic41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11810742.1%45 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed Bernard Tomic41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1188444%37 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Bernard Tomic41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11812746.5%59 W · 68 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Bernard Tomic64c194.08$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.061,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Bernard Tomic41c190$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.19452.1%49 W · 45 L+11.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Darwin Blanch29c187.77$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.181,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Bernard Tomic41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.28241.5%34 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Bernard Tomic41c168.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.294634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Bernard Tomic62c157.92$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2346453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Bernard Tomic34c155.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6657845.7%264 W · 314 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Bernard Tomic63c152.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.673,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Bernard Tomic41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.548738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x223b…971cbacked Bernard Tomic33c146.79$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.79728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Darwin Blanch14c142.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203250%16 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Bernard Tomic34c139.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9485637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Bernard Tomic54c139.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.162,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Bernard Tomic34c136.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.261,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Bernard Tomic52c135.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4430246.7%141 W · 161 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7629…ef05backed Darwin Blanch67c135.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9037262.9%234 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Bernard Tomic41c133$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4730040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Bernard Tomic41c133$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4718841.5%78 W · 110 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5bd…226cbacked Bernard Tomic41c133$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4715340.5%62 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4149…44c4backed Bernard Tomic34c128.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.513531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Bernard Tomic40c127.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.53,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Bernard Tomic40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Bernard Tomic40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7542743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Darwin Blanch59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9236440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8e…289ebacked Bernard Tomic53c119.31$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.51258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Darwin Blanch35c114.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Bernard Tomic45c113.59$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.593,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Bernard Tomic52c112.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8992352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1924…8e55backed Darwin Blanch35c107.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.832650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Darwin Blanch66c106.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7039469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Bernard Tomic40c100.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9810847.2%51 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Bernard Tomic60c100.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0784857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Darwin Blanch62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Bernard Tomic40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011244.6%50 W · 62 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c8…a25cbacked Bernard Tomic40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.416451.8%85 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Darwin Blanch66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.536349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Bernard Tomic69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.97374%54 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.