MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbce7c7924d944791841996d240c8a8713f3ac21bcc700b387c312c8dc86b415f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Cubs, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 50c | 18,045$9,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,022.51 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 72c | 12,416$8,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.98 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.98 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 43c | 9,369$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.71 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Cubs | 21c | 7,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 51c | 5,777$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.71 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 51c | 5,077$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.81 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cubs | 41c | 4,780$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Twins | 51c | 4,381$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.87 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 10c | 4,229$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 50c | 3,577$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 34c | 2,933$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cubs | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Cubs | 49c | 2,575$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.74 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cubs | 50c | 2,412$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…de0abacked Cubs | 36c | 2,352$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Cubs | 35c | 2,125$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cubs | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Cubs | 50c | 2,005$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 73c | 1,851$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.9 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs | 49c | 1,740$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.6 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…1709backed Cubs | 50c | 1,606$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Twins | 51c | 1,592$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.08 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Twins | 49c | 1,480$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.84 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Twins | 78c | 1,428$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 21c | 1,413$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twins | 51c | 1,296$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.09 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Twins | 76c | 1,232$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.21 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Cubs | 49c | 1,125$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.3 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Cubs | 35c | 1,086$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Cubs | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Cubs | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.72 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cubs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…12debacked Twins | 51c | 979.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 6c | 870$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Cubs | 51c | 780$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 42c | 749.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Cubs | 38c | 675.1$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 51c | 640$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 52c | 577.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Twins | 50c | 550.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.9 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 70c | 547.84$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 5c | 522$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cubs | 4c | 511$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Twins | 79c | 510$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Cubs | 50c | 503.38$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.69 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Twins | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Cubs | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Cubs | 42c | 473.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cubs | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 34c | 433$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Cubs | 49c | 424.44$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Cubs | 50c | 403.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Cubs | 50c | 399.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 50c | 382.77$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 72c | 382.61$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Cubs | 49c | 372$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…5744backed Cubs | 49c | 368$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Cubs | 18c | 354$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Cubs | 50c | 336.76$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9d…8c23backed Cubs | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Cubs | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Cubs | 6c | 299.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…9130backed Twins | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Cubs | 49c | 292$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Cubs | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Cubs | 29c | 270.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked Twins | 77c | 258.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 40c | 248.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Cubs | 17c | 242.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Cubs | 22c | 231.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Twins | 50c | 218.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cubs | 47c | 212.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Cubs | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Twins | 52c | 193.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Twins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Twins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cubs | 48c | 191.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cubs | 51c | 179.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Cubs | 49c | 171$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 48c | 167.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…5ac2backed Cubs | 28c | 159.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins | 77c | 159.65$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Cubs | 25c | 137.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 22c | 134.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 51c | 131.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 24c | 125.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Cubs | 50c | 121$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Cubs | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.