MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b0e4b619d5874948baa5a0971ec560ea1169c03d64a804bc36114e59ebd9d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,265,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,278,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,265,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Red Sox | 42c | 906,854$379,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527,557.24 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Phillies | 58c | 326,926$189,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189,616.92 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 58c | 214,715$124,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,235.01 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 58c | 110,000$63,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,900 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 58c | 56,950$33,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,165.13 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Phillies | 59c | 54,190$31,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,972.15 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Phillies | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,200 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 49c | 39,860$19,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,724.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 59c | 38,850$22,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,921.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Phillies | 58c | 37,333$21,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,653.14 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Phillies | 58c | 35,000$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Phillies | 59c | 31,652$18,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,609.37 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Red Sox | 26c | 22,999$6,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,960.8 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox | 41c | 20,148$8,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,887.32 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 58c | 20,043$11,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,588.49 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Red Sox | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 29c | 17,560$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,019.72 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 54c | 12,326$6,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,652.24 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 59c | 11,922$7,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,034.15 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 59c | 10,900$6,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,381 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 59c | 9,000$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Red Sox | 37c | 8,018$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.45 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Sox | 39c | 5,396$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.66 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Phillies | 52c | 5,228$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.74 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Phillies | 55c | 5,135$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Red Sox | 40c | 4,358$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.96 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 58c | 3,726$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 58c | 3,700$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 41c | 3,642$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.78 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Phillies | 58c | 3,000$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Red Sox | 64c | 2,753$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.28 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Phillies | 45c | 2,397$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.77 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Phillies | 58c | 2,250$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 55c | 2,099$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Red Sox | 42c | 2,052$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.38 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Phillies | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Red Sox | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,810$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.8 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Red Sox | 40c | 1,769$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.53 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 31c | 1,756$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.37 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Phillies | 58c | 1,695$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.08 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 39c | 1,527$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.06 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 54c | 1,477$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 36c | 1,454$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.53 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,311$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.38 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Red Sox | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.88 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Red Sox | 44c | 1,140$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.55 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Phillies | 57c | 1,128$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.81 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfd…fc1cbacked Red Sox | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…aa9ebacked Phillies | 60c | 1,095$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 12c | 1,070$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.77 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 63c | 1,061$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.63 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Red Sox | 42c | 1,050$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Phillies | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Phillies | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Red Sox | 43c | 999.01$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.44 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 58c | 909.3$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.39 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Red Sox | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Red Sox | 53c | 821.83$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.02 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Red Sox | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Phillies | 26c | 699.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Phillies | 57c | 686$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.02 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Red Sox | 40c | 640.59$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.35 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Red Sox | 35c | 625.7$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.45 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Red Sox | 15c | 604.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.27 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 59c | 585.33$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.34 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Red Sox | 40c | 552$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Phillies | 56c | 537.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 57c | 531.11$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.73 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 42c | 528.38$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.46 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 43c | 490.53$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 33c | 438.03$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Phillies | 34c | 409.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Phillies | 55c | 408.59$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.92 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.83 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Red Sox | 79c | 398.36$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…8121backed Phillies | 54c | 388.69$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Red Sox | 41c | 363.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.41 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 7c | 359.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…df91backed Phillies | 67c | 357.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Phillies | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Phillies | 58c | 326$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.08 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Red Sox | 78c | 317.31$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Red Sox | 40c | 317$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.2 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Phillies | 6c | 315.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Red Sox | 39c | 309$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.33 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 58c | 306.42$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Phillies | 49c | 271.8$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Phillies | 61c | 263.7$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Red Sox | 77c | 258.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 77c | 252.93$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Phillies | 52c | 243.62$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Red Sox | 42c | 239$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.