TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof Vitality, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2619…50a8backed Vitality0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis43c5,583$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.351,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8151…beebbacked Vitality56c4,667$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis21c4,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,16067041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis40c3,908$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.071,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis36c3,622$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.554,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Astralis39c3,300$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.8227345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Vitality63c3,028$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.352733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Vitality65c2,498$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.2212153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae2…7119backed Astralis73c2,482$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Astralis37c2,246$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.6147055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Vitality76c2,073$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.0821846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75fc…ee34backed Vitality75c2,050$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.592661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Vitality79c2,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5809861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Astralis26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.992729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Vitality73c2,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9624139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Vitality74c1,447$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.673557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked Vitality64c1,432$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.895862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Astralis27c1,287$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.4417538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality50c1,219$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.2981751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Vitality76c1,200$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91223355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Astralis24c1,200$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91297230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad4f…b0bcbacked Vitality5c1,105$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.052040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Astralis22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78023932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Vitality78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78064552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked Vitality1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Astralis25c960.64$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.488042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Astralis50c834.96$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.2521645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Astralis24c764.41$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.743327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis27c655$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.75,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed Astralis26c578.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.464551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Vitality66c574.23$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.835750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0321…bbfabacked Astralis39c548.03$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.354546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Vitality73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Astralis36c455$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.213235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed Astralis22c450$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3513357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Astralis27c444$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.1215749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Vitality73c409.98$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2917148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd305…4e8bbacked Astralis43c385.16$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.461136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis43c369$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3358961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff9…bdc5backed Astralis36c337.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9975…e7e6backed Vitality75c332.64$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.482360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed Vitality77c330.74$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.4622560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Astralis31c319.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.316546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Astralis28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21646340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Vitality56c300$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1674445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Astralis35c294.07$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.116535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Vitality52c293.53$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6411443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Astralis21c257.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.711,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Vitality78c247.39$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8910252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dfd…cfa8backed Vitality63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis24c200$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea1f…9f76backed Vitality52c190.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ad…cb3cbacked Astralis66c188$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Vitality74c160.65$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8884037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x746e…04dabacked Astralis22c140$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.27643.4%33 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Astralis22c136$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0828248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98b7…4947backed Vitality59c135$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.653030%9 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb84d…aaadbacked Vitality76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Vitality77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026660.9%162 W · 104 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…70fcbacked Vitality61c123.11$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe685…b715backed Astralis17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc117…3ed5backed Vitality53c113.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.162634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis27c113$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5798052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Vitality71c112.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011644%51 W · 65 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Vitality74c105$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.71,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…1b46backed Astralis41c103.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.159759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Astralis44c100.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7110055%55 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Astralis26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7411150.5%56 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3513…c19dbacked Astralis41c98.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf51e…63febacked Vitality80c95.38$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Astralis27c94.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4485446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a5d…e3f4backed Vitality55c83.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Vitality75c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021141.7%88 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca2…f018backed Vitality75c79.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Astralis30c68.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1337752%196 W · 181 L+1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x733e…859dbacked Vitality61c68.17$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.94944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1491…06f2backed Vitality75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Astralis20c65.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.319849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a2…c111backed Vitality75c65.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.865731.6%18 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Vitality62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.435454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Astralis26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.697425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Astralis33c53.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8617236.6%63 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd0…0e01backed Vitality50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd0…5e46backed Vitality61c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed Astralis23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.35044%22 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x624d…4322backed Vitality71c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0138…044bbacked Astralis24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02aa…9c2abacked Vitality61c48.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028964%185 W · 104 L+1.4wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Vitality53c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Astralis41c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.552528%7 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-41.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf85c…3f74backed Vitality46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa59…aacabacked Astralis43c39.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.79750.5%49 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa351…17c3backed Vitality77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4863…dfa4backed Vitality50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515151%77 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6da…b2cdbacked Vitality62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x037c…509ebacked Vitality54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xef0b…8996backed Vitality63c27.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.392548%12 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1772…4c63backed Astralis62c27.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…22ebbacked Astralis44c27.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.082142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.