CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4f637addeaea6e606f8e40c6dee810da84f8552f54787e34a96db4f1c87210f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 36c | 1,307$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.66 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 43c | 1,041$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.73 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 31c | 859.4$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.64 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Under | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Under | 71c | 477.44$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 64c | 453.44$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.2 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked Over | 36c | 347.22$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Under | 70c | 317.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 67c | 237.03$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Over | 33c | 201.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 38c | 198.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked Over | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…bf49backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 24c | 86.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…bbfabacked Over | 39c | 82.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 246 | 48.8%120 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…431cbacked Over | 40c | 50.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Over | 27c | 50.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…5e46backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0b…8996backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…37ccbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Under | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.