CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc00ff0b54a04a833545f93c0b491b734e1f388d5bf9b62db9ef38ab5d68c517f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Astralis | 14c | 25,640$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.95 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Astralis | 13c | 25,459$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.68 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Astralis | 14c | 25,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astralis | 11c | 18,901$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.17 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Vitality | 74c | 8,726$6,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.46 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Astralis | 14c | 5,968$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.52 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Astralis | 0c | 4,537$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Astralis | 6c | 4,430$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Astralis | 7c | 4,001$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.68 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed Astralis | 14c | 3,907$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.98 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Vitality | 68c | 3,703$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.95 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality | 73c | 3,419$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.67 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 33c | 2,500$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.27 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Astralis | 10c | 2,500$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.11 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Vitality | 78c | 2,304$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.03 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astralis | 22c | 1,925$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.24 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Astralis | 20c | 1,800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Astralis | 11c | 1,725$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 27c | 1,625$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.66 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…3ed5backed Astralis | 12c | 1,572$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Astralis | 15c | 1,500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.86 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Vitality | 75c | 1,335$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.14 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vitality | 76c | 1,317$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.06 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Astralis | 14c | 1,300$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 29c | 1,285$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.48 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Astralis | 17c | 1,256$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.65 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Astralis | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.05 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Astralis | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Astralis | 25c | 1,177$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.53 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Vitality | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Astralis | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…e1c8backed Astralis | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Vitality | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Vitality | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Astralis | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Astralis | 13c | 996.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed Astralis | 25c | 941.18$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Vitality | 76c | 926.57$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Astralis | 18c | 878.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Astralis | 29c | 824.7$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed Vitality | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Astralis | 13c | 777$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Astralis | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Astralis | 14c | 616$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Astralis | 17c | 596.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Astralis | 16c | 535.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Astralis | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03d…daccbacked Astralis | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis | 14c | 444.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astralis | 14c | 438.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Astralis | 14c | 432.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked Astralis | 15c | 425.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed Astralis | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Vitality | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Astralis | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked Astralis | 9c | 352.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Astralis | 24c | 346.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Vitality | 75c | 312.19$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x678d…cda7backed Astralis | 16c | 303.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astralis | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…633bbacked Astralis | 17c | 287.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vitality | 75c | 261.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Vitality | 74c | 260.28$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…9b98backed Astralis | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f4…93d4backed Astralis | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20e…6901backed Astralis | 10c | 242.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1f…9f76backed Astralis | 20c | 238.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…c060backed Vitality | 71c | 231$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +88%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…561cbacked Astralis | 16c | 225$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe030…8d5fbacked Vitality | 74c | 220.27$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…b4e0backed Vitality | 76c | 216.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Astralis | 26c | 209.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Astralis | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Astralis | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…ef1fbacked Astralis | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Astralis | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Astralis | 22c | 198.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Vitality | 76c | 171.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Astralis | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…8d39backed Astralis | 21c | 147$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Vitality | 64c | 141.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed Vitality | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…eb65backed Astralis | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Vitality | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef39…6ff3backed Astralis | 14c | 124.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…a39cbacked Astralis | 9c | 122.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f0…88d3backed Astralis | 13c | 113.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Vitality | 75c | 112.11$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619f…fc43backed Astralis | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…7f77backed Vitality | 65c | 108.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed Astralis | 22c | 108.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…ed6fbacked Astralis | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Astralis | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Astralis | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Astralis | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Astralis | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…bf49backed Astralis | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Astralis | 26c | 99.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.