College Football · resolved market
Kansas vs. Arizona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8039ed66624e0fddc415626a9c42a10111e67e96e62fd4f62edb68a024ed0d46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizonaof Kansas, Arizona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kansas | 27c | 40,000$10,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,996.9 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona | 40c | 18,918$7,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,356.93 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona | 43c | 12,062$5,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,844.41 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kansas | 60c | 11,778$7,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,064.93 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Arizona | 64c | 11,617$7,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.12 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Kansas | 36c | 8,772$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.91 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Kansas | 56c | 8,227$4,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,596.03 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Arizona | 66c | 8,143$5,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.08 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Arizona | 66c | 5,799$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.61 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arizona | 65c | 5,758$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.72 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona | 62c | 5,031$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.12 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kansas | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kansas | 59c | 4,977$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.1 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kansas | 61c | 4,546$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.51 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arizona | 58c | 4,280$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.34 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona | 38c | 2,522$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.79 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Kansas | 30c | 2,065$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.92 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Arizona | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona | 64c | 1,455$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.67 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Arizona | 56c | 1,427$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.18 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas | 44c | 1,349$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.99 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Arizona | 64c | 950.98$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.36 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kansas | 35c | 782.55$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.36 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Kansas | 29c | 775$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kansas | 34c | 772.52$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.38 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Arizona | 64c | 671.88$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.88 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Arizona | 43c | 604.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.65 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Arizona | 64c | 574.95$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Arizona | 37c | 534.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.19 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Arizona | 54c | 501$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.46 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arizona | 64c | 492.44$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Kansas | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kansas | 5c | 405.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Arizona | 49c | 392$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kansas | 59c | 387.73$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.14 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Arizona | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5893…6835backed Arizona | 51c | 332.24$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Arizona | 64c | 277$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Kansas | 36c | 260$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Kansas | 63c | 254.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Kansas | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Kansas | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Kansas | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kansas | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Arizona | 42c | 188.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Arizona | 45c | 183.84$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…7a4bbacked Arizona | 65c | 179.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Arizona | 65c | 171$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Kansas | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Kansas | 36c | 156.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Arizona | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Arizona | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Kansas | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Kansas | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kansas | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Kansas | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona | 64c | 138.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Kansas | 35c | 122.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona | 65c | 122.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…51dabacked Arizona | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kansas | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…b983backed Arizona | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9226…ad48backed Arizona | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Arizona | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…f137backed Kansas | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Arizona | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Arizona | 79c | 98.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Kansas | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Arizona | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5223…29d9backed Arizona | 74c | 81.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Kansas | 57c | 78.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…e00ebacked Arizona | 65c | 78.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…0fb4backed Kansas | 36c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…32dfbacked Arizona | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Kansas | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kansas | 34c | 67.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…7823backed Arizona | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Arizona | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Kansas | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona | 45c | 55.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…ace3backed Kansas | 52c | 51.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Arizona | 63c | 49.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…8e45backed Arizona | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Kansas | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acd…664abacked Arizona | 56c | 40.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Arizona | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…1e6abacked Arizona | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe2…1bb4backed Arizona | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…67e3backed Arizona | 64c | 39.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…22ebbacked Arizona | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…2414backed Arizona | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc795…6b62backed Arizona | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…e82abacked Arizona | 65c | 38.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…310dbacked Arizona | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…ac8ebacked Arizona | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…b26fbacked Arizona | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa477…c9c2backed Arizona | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Arizona | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed Arizona | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas vs. Arizonathis page
- Kansas vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5Under won
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona (-4.5)Kansas won
- Spread: Arizona (-5.5)Kansas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.