TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Pelicans, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f65…d7aebacked Timberwolves77c8,501$6,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.125536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Pelicans25c6,040$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.9633746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans22c2,570$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.31,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Pelicans31c2,521$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.384148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Pelicans24c2,490$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.4311942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58d…0fe5backed Timberwolves70c2,148$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Pelicans34c2,100$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.492142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Timberwolves69c1,451$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.5522458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Timberwolves76c1,322$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.4712254.9%67 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Timberwolves69c1,200$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3210…5c4ebacked Pelicans33c1,159$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Pelicans35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Pelicans33c767.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Pelicans34c750$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25525236.9%93 W · 159 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc12e…540fbacked Timberwolves70c535.67$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Pelicans19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9530619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Pelicans34c499.92$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9719959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Pelicans18c451$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9659743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e9…831abacked Pelicans30c431.42$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Pelicans16c422.71$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6350%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Pelicans39c401.19$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.035541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves58c383.66$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Timberwolves69c382.61$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.614854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Pelicans10c332.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.155054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Timberwolves69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9310058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Pelicans33c290.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8812657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Timberwolves64c282.64$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7563555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Timberwolves60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Timberwolves64c228.43$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.491,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pelicans45c224.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Timberwolves66c223.8$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Pelicans33c221.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.772832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…0426backed Pelicans55c205$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.851241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Timberwolves74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529573.7%70 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Pelicans32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6460834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Pelicans39c179.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Pelicans34c163$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5519951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2040…7743backed Timberwolves65c152.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6e…4c9fbacked Timberwolves67c149.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick64cpaid-52.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe22f…0f5dbacked Pelicans50c142$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-52.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x441d…abb6backed Timberwolves50c142$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Timberwolves71c141.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3548938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1f…9f1abacked Pelicans48c141$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.681030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a04…7fdabacked Timberwolves52c141$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.681136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves72c139.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.271,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans41c123.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Pelicans33c113.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3442740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x784a…c2b3backed Pelicans33c103.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Pelicans29c99.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9969337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Timberwolves66c98.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4819748.2%95 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Timberwolves69c94.94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4323048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Pelicans38c90.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5511450.9%58 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cc…9b13backed Timberwolves50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb25e…39aabacked Timberwolves71c87.55$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.674436.4%16 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Pelicans31c81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed Pelicans33c77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc269…927dbacked Timberwolves72c76.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…a384backed Timberwolves71c75.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f55…2cd0backed Pelicans33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5c…df4ebacked Timberwolves69c75.23$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Timberwolves66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.872647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Pelicans51c65.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2510846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pelicans36c62.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.611,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…ad6abacked Pelicans36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202969%20 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Pelicans31c53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.433461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c12…93a7backed Timberwolves54c52.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Pelicans40c50.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Timberwolves70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511447.4%54 W · 60 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Pelicans28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce7…e2f3backed Timberwolves72c48.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pelicans29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.922,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9961…8652backed Timberwolves73c45.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.21366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Pelicans29c42.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3431631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Timberwolves63c42.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.76051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed Pelicans33c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5315936.5%58 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…344abacked Timberwolves70c38.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Pelicans52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa9…22ebbacked Pelicans41c36.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127d…61d6backed Pelicans38c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Pelicans33c34.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.691947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10eb…8682backed Timberwolves64c34.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd241…fab0backed Timberwolves65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec5…2bbdbacked Timberwolves66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc8…32dfbacked Timberwolves66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+90.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa9e…f0f9backed Timberwolves66c30.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.082965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba0…3d98backed Timberwolves67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e51…7715backed Timberwolves64c29.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38d…52a2backed Timberwolves71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1681…9ce3backed Pelicans39c28.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef4…85cfbacked Timberwolves65c25.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Pelicans40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Timberwolves66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.735650%28 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Pelicans51c21.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8226439.4%104 W · 160 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7b…75ecbacked Timberwolves71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…624abacked Timberwolves71c16.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4234…1032backed Timberwolves72c16.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…ad74backed Timberwolves71c15.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5524952.6%131 W · 118 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c0…1480backed Timberwolves71c15.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.49540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe927…307abacked Timberwolves71c15.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.