NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfd19fcdd9b13884c7c950cf3e97dc9e7591adf202c880ed1791346d66436af4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Pelicans, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Timberwolves | 77c | 8,501$6,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.1 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pelicans | 25c | 6,040$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.96 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans | 22c | 2,570$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.3 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Pelicans | 31c | 2,521$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.38 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Pelicans | 24c | 2,490$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.43 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…0fe5backed Timberwolves | 70c | 2,148$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Pelicans | 34c | 2,100$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,451$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.55 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 1,322$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.47 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Pelicans | 33c | 1,159$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pelicans | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Pelicans | 33c | 767.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pelicans | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…540fbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 535.67$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Pelicans | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Pelicans | 34c | 499.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pelicans | 18c | 451$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked Pelicans | 30c | 431.42$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Pelicans | 16c | 422.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Pelicans | 39c | 401.19$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.03 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 58c | 383.66$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.02 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 382.61$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Pelicans | 10c | 332.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Pelicans | 33c | 290.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Timberwolves | 64c | 282.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Timberwolves | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Timberwolves | 64c | 228.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pelicans | 45c | 224.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Timberwolves | 66c | 223.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Pelicans | 33c | 221.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…0426backed Pelicans | 55c | 205$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Timberwolves | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pelicans | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pelicans | 39c | 179.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Pelicans | 34c | 163$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2040…7743backed Timberwolves | 65c | 152.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…4c9fbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 149.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…0f5dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…abb6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Timberwolves | 71c | 141.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…9f1abacked Pelicans | 48c | 141$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…7fdabacked Timberwolves | 52c | 141$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 72c | 139.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans | 41c | 123.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Pelicans | 33c | 113.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…c2b3backed Pelicans | 33c | 103.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pelicans | 29c | 99.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Timberwolves | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Timberwolves | 69c | 94.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Pelicans | 38c | 90.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…9b13backed Timberwolves | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Timberwolves | 71c | 87.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Pelicans | 31c | 81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Pelicans | 33c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…927dbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 76.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…a384backed Timberwolves | 71c | 75.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…2cd0backed Pelicans | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5c…df4ebacked Timberwolves | 69c | 75.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Timberwolves | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Pelicans | 51c | 65.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pelicans | 36c | 62.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Pelicans | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Pelicans | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Timberwolves | 54c | 52.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Pelicans | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Pelicans | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…e2f3backed Timberwolves | 72c | 48.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pelicans | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…8652backed Timberwolves | 73c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Pelicans | 29c | 42.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 42.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Pelicans | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…344abacked Timberwolves | 70c | 38.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…22ebbacked Pelicans | 41c | 36.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…61d6backed Pelicans | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Pelicans | 33c | 34.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10eb…8682backed Timberwolves | 64c | 34.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…fab0backed Timberwolves | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…2bbdbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc8…32dfbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Timberwolves | 66c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed Timberwolves | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…7715backed Timberwolves | 64c | 29.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…52a2backed Timberwolves | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…9ce3backed Pelicans | 39c | 28.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…85cfbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 25.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Pelicans | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Pelicans | 51c | 21.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…75ecbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…624abacked Timberwolves | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…1032backed Timberwolves | 72c | 16.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…ad74backed Timberwolves | 71c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 249 | 52.6%131 W · 118 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c0…1480backed Timberwolves | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe927…307abacked Timberwolves | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.