MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27b82321610ffa8af5899177a1dba12d77254d6468e6616d8aa1cfc43352d78f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 534 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 42c | 13,014$5,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.22 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 52c | 12,047$6,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,802.82 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…3718backed Twins | 45c | 9,999$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…341dbacked Cubs | 55c | 9,996$5,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,498.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 52c | 9,761$5,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.27 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Twins | 48c | 8,826$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.32 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 30c | 5,670$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 48c | 5,050$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.25 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 46c | 4,547$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.25 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 43c | 4,468$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.04 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cubs | 57c | 4,416$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.33 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 51c | 4,311$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.11 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 42c | 3,960$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cubs | 53c | 3,782$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.38 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 52c | 3,656$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.95 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 51c | 3,037$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.42 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 4c | 2,578$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Twins | 2c | 2,376$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Cubs | 71c | 2,351$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cubs | 52c | 2,307$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.63 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cubs | 50c | 2,074$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.08 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Twins | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…2949backed Twins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Twins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Twins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 53c | 1,727$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.25 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Twins | 47c | 1,586$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.21 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cubs | 55c | 1,512$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.48 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27c…50b6backed Cubs | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Twins | 48c | 1,064$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.51 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Cubs | 60c | 1,056$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.1 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…f5d9backed Cubs | 55c | 1,055$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Twins | 18c | 1,042$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.27 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Cubs | 77c | 1,038$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Cubs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Twins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cubs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cubs | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Twins | 37c | 958.16$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.83 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…4ca9backed Cubs | 55c | 945$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Cubs | 53c | 849.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…b36cbacked Cubs | 55c | 844.6$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Twins | 46c | 772.26$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.24 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Cubs | 53c | 759.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.81 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 48c | 744.62$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.42 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 7c | 666$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Twins | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…0252backed Twins | 49c | 590$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 47c | 585.05$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.97 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Cubs | 52c | 581.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 49c | 578.27$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.35 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Twins | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cubs | 52c | 403.61$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…540fbacked Cubs | 53c | 382.34$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Twins | 48c | 377.27$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.09 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 52c | 370.72$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.95 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Twins | 50c | 368$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cubs | 75c | 366.67$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e8…fa8fbacked Cubs | 52c | 325$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Twins | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Cubs | 51c | 285.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Twins | 49c | 279.04$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.73 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cubs | 78c | 274$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 54c | 267.74$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6414…fa27backed Cubs | 52c | 265$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cubs | 59c | 260.1$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cubs | 54c | 248.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cubs | 56c | 242.43$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Twins | 46c | 232.74$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Twins | 48c | 220.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 55c | 212.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Cubs | 53c | 209$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Twins | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Cubs | 53c | 206.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cubs | 62c | 204.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…a38ebacked Cubs | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…fbe3backed Cubs | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…d536backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…a72abacked Cubs | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…ed65backed Cubs | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0669…8717backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…c492backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…95adbacked Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.