MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbce3442be253777bb8a4c3dd9f702f1a6acbaa1b2ad37c9e85ad4cef2a119916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Marlins, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Reds | 65c | 51,175$33,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,846.78 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Reds | 61c | 31,892$19,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,437.85 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 39c | 26,000$10,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,140 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Marlins | 36c | 19,671$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,079.76 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins | 39c | 11,849$4,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.88 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Reds | 73c | 11,556$8,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 32c | 10,333$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.26 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 24c | 7,321$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Reds | 61c | 6,048$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.02 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Marlins | 36c | 5,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 39c | 5,143$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.79 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Marlins | 38c | 3,550$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.5 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 18c | 3,527$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.16 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Marlins | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Marlins | 18c | 2,623$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.6 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 61c | 2,620$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.8 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Reds | 61c | 2,266$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.74 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Marlins | 1c | 2,246$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27c…50b6backed Marlins | 37c | 2,005$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…009fbacked Marlins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 38c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,952$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.74 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 1c | 1,923$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,843$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.85 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…94e4backed Marlins | 39c | 1,700$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Reds | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Marlins | 38c | 1,622$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.42 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Reds | 61c | 1,618$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.43 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Reds | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Reds | 80c | 1,490$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 34c | 1,474$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 36c | 1,390$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.81 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Marlins | 26c | 1,362$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.35 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 60c | 1,250$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.88 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Marlins | 2c | 1,129$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins | 36c | 1,108$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Marlins | 32c | 1,001$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.93 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Reds | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…b36cbacked Reds | 61c | 911.16$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marlins | 2c | 890$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…d685backed Reds | 61c | 872$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…105abacked Reds | 61c | 828$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 36c | 820.45$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Reds | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Marlins | 20c | 736.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Marlins | 40c | 716.13$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.45 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Reds | 64c | 712.45$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.48 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Marlins | 2c | 689.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Marlins | 39c | 665.1$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.39 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Reds | 62c | 627.69$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.28 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 39c | 514.11$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Marlins | 17c | 506.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marlins | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 39c | 432.84$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.68 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Marlins | 24c | 419.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 39c | 412$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.87 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Reds | 61c | 410.71$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Reds | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Marlins | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Marlins | 37c | 397.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 62c | 393.89$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 20c | 376.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Marlins | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Marlins | 22c | 362.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Reds | 61c | 342.3$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Marlins | 6c | 329.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Marlins | 39c | 329$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 36c | 328.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Marlins | 39c | 325.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 39c | 320.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Reds | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Reds | 66c | 304.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 62c | 292.34$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 37c | 286.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Marlins | 39c | 262.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Reds | 62c | 254.73$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.73 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Marlins | 41c | 245.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Marlins | 11c | 235.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 39c | 232$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Marlins | 7c | 229.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…0797backed Marlins | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Marlins | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Reds | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Marlins | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 40c | 191.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Reds | 61c | 191$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Marlins | 38c | 190.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 38c | 179.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 38c | 177$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…32d3backed Reds | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…13d1backed Reds | 62c | 163.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…12debacked Marlins | 39c | 162.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Reds | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Reds | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…4c9fbacked Reds | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 65c | 154.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.