TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Rockies, Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$687,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$753,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $687,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Rockies27c504,255$133,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,899.0910844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox74c111,110$81,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,221.9360249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Red Sox73c108,803$79,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,376.7314048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Red Sox74c51,590$38,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,413.423545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…143fbacked Rockies0c33,333$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Red Sox74c29,808$22,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,75050852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox74c27,455$20,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,236.331,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Red Sox73c20,000$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40024553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox73c13,500$9,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5951,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Red Sox74c13,059$9,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,395.4326949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a91…e0aebacked Red Sox74c12,388$9,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,220.841770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d22…cad9backed Red Sox74c6,758$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.35988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox75c6,055$4,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.432,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies25c5,701$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.311,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Rockies25c4,385$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.287542.7%32 W · 43 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+63.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies16c4,276$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.762,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies16c4,070$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6661,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Red Sox74c4,054$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.0513553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Red Sox71c3,944$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.2197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rockies26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Rockies31c3,500$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0858540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rockies26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9538249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies14c2,735$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.789,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58d…0fe5backed Red Sox75c2,660$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Red Sox74c2,241$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.5233845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b7…e14bbacked Red Sox73c2,192$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c6…696fbacked Red Sox73c2,145$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x641e…79b3backed Rockies27c2,100$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92bc…5f95backed Rockies27c2,100$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies15c2,063$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1a…1f78backed Red Sox73c2,055$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.85887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rockies25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d49…9fc1backed Rockies27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…67eabacked Rockies27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Red Sox74c1,984$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.7838949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox79c1,941$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.7766645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Rockies27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0428042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies27c1,851$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.771,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Red Sox73c1,809$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.4320850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4940…3d17backed Red Sox73c1,808$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockies25c1,631$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.3995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rockies4c1,500$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5625416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies1c1,427$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.378762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies27c1,285$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8343247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox75c1,159$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Rockies13c1,014$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.914332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Rockies27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703040%12 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Red Sox73c999.98$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.991,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox74c946$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9673352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Rockies27c820.52$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.542770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Red Sox75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rockies26c799.88$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.971,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox74c789.09$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.165,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a2…a62dbacked Red Sox74c758.72$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Rockies27c740.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.074443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Rockies28c720.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18943654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Red Sox74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.686154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Red Sox75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6713151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Rockies26c619.23$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1615429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8914…d0c5backed Red Sox76c571$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rockies18c560.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Red Sox74c502.7$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.714654.8%80 W · 66 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f91…fc95backed Red Sox73c410.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.463562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Red Sox73c403.14$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8517927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47ef…dfd1backed Red Sox74c392.38$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.385759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Red Sox74c389.3$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6125952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Rockies26c385.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2914050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Red Sox75c361.38$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3899951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox74c338.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.772,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Red Sox75c299$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7516157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeace…fe6abacked Rockies29c293.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8513247%62 W · 70 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.272,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Red Sox74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2722546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Red Sox74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.275763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Sox74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2739160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ca…5b45backed Red Sox75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ee…7ad7backed Rockies7c235.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.024610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Rockies27c223$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2114146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Rockies27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x232e…b1eebacked Red Sox74c214.78$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.841190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24a0…2569backed Rockies28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604450%22 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Rockies17c213.57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9333137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Red Sox74c210.11$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6314949.7%74 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Red Sox74c200.11$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0319449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Rockies10c198.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207025.7%18 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4078…22ddbacked Rockies27c188.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox72c170$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.181,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox74c170$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.22,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d8…5744backed Red Sox76c165$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.752330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox75c144.22$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfca…6e10backed Red Sox74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1946…8a1fbacked Red Sox74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dd…df92backed Red Sox74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.143548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Red Sox74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1431356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c9…7853backed Red Sox74c130$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.42564%16 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.