MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ac94b14dd6c7c344d3b45c329d7748698c262e5341b89d3dfa81bb480e422e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Mets, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mets | 0c | 19,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Orioles | 46c | 19,145$8,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,376.41 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 46c | 14,659$6,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,941.73 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Mets | 57c | 12,120$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,945 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mets | 54c | 11,803$6,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,358.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mets | 56c | 6,922$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.72 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Orioles | 43c | 5,997$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.08 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Orioles | 50c | 5,990$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.21 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Mets | 53c | 5,425$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.59 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mets | 55c | 4,500$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…b2dabacked Mets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mets | 55c | 3,944$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.56 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 42c | 3,344$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Orioles | 46c | 3,008$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.09 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Orioles | 46c | 2,858$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.72 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Orioles | 26c | 2,844$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.26 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 43c | 2,833$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.63 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Mets | 73c | 2,761$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.35 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Orioles | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.3 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Orioles | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 41c | 1,944$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.14 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mets | 57c | 1,829$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.72 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Mets | 56c | 1,777$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.09 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mets | 53c | 1,703$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.76 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 55c | 1,458$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.59 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Mets | 57c | 1,441$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.43 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Mets | 77c | 1,250$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Mets | 1c | 1,142$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Mets | 77c | 1,060$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.66 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Orioles | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 53c | 990.57$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.57 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 48c | 964.8$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.46 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Mets | 77c | 952.91$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.74 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Orioles | 45c | 834.57$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 54c | 722.02$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.89 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 55c | 700$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.53 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Mets | 55c | 699.98$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Mets | 51c | 620$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 63c | 580$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Orioles | 44c | 564$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Mets | 55c | 530$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x603f…eae9backed Mets | 57c | 526.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Mets | 58c | 525.74$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.36 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 67c | 525.56$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.19 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Orioles | 51c | 501.68$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.71 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Orioles | 44c | 439.7$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.23 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Mets | 63c | 438.34$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.93 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…4513backed Orioles | 44c | 432.05$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed Orioles | 44c | 431.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 42c | 430.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.97 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Orioles | 47c | 427.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.34 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mets | 6c | 414.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets | 56c | 374.34$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.63 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Orioles | 44c | 359.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…13d1backed Mets | 73c | 328.23$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 35c | 317.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 64c | 311.2$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Orioles | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Orioles | 45c | 309$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Orioles | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Mets | 49c | 280.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…0797backed Mets | 57c | 264.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Mets | 54c | 246.36$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Orioles | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78cb…d988backed Orioles | 43c | 232.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Orioles | 41c | 227.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Orioles | 43c | 221.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Orioles | 52c | 211$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Orioles | 41c | 208.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.74 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Orioles | 44c | 200.93$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Mets | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Mets | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…6a17backed Orioles | 45c | 197.78$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets | 56c | 190$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Orioles | 44c | 186.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Orioles | 32c | 182.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 57c | 176.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Mets | 58c | 175.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…4c9fbacked Mets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Orioles | 43c | 174.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 57c | 174.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mets | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 22c | 160.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Orioles | 45c | 149.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mets | 60c | 138.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 10c | 136.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Orioles | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Orioles | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Orioles | 37c | 134.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed Mets | 52c | 128.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.