CS2 · resolved market
Will PARIVISION win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21d734f342ab53a63df2eec380ca77f5e6a6eec2ff36aaa45e0585b7634875ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 36c | 4,251$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.15 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e25…ad7fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,574$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.34 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 24c | 890.71$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.52 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Yes | 38c | 765$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.35 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Yes | 36c | 686.82$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.59 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…fdffbacked Yes | 7c | 399.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 59c | 347.27$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…e82dbacked Yes | 10c | 327.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 63c | 319.03$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Yes | 14c | 253.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.53 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 35c | 244.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.01 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 59c | 227.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Yes | 6c | 221.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.67 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…6976backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 64c | 177.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 177.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 38c | 176.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…7d09backed No | 62c | 159$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 8c | 151.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 149.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 23c | 123.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 25c | 114.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked No | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b1…b332backed Yes | 28c | 95.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 64c | 67.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 60c | 59.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f2…f5e7backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…d21abacked Yes | 38c | 39.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…fe9cbacked Yes | 32c | 34.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe069…3c17backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…93cbbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PARIVISION win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?this page
- Will FURIA win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?No won
- Will Team Falcons win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?No won
- Will Team Vitality win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.