CS2 · resolved market
Will FURIA win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe65a45cabadd7a1d6587d0bbfdb0556e3ba9e889693eb637c08ca988b3116a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 70c | 3,388$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.42 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 30c | 3,381$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.95 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Yes | 37c | 2,710$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.21 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…de4cbacked Yes | 35c | 505.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 33c | 496.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 32c | 291.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…f700backed Yes | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 157.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 66c | 135.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…fe9cbacked No | 68c | 116.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…4731backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…1f75backed Yes | 45c | 61.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 50.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 50.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed No | 76c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe069…3c17backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FURIA win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?this page
- Will PARIVISION win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?Yes won
- Will Team Falcons win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?No won
- Will Team Vitality win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.