Movies · resolved market
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b6c2a25b03112d68fe23658cda9370f3f892230573dbf2008b8a481aa4e7688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 5,237$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked No | 4c | 2,551$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…ec98backed Yes | 50c | 2,436$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…7d09backed No | 2c | 1,910$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 3c | 1,276$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed No | 13c | 1,110$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…76e5backed Yes | 74c | 883.41$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…3a94backed Yes | 71c | 878.74$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.23 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…bc10backed No | 74c | 722$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ec41backed No | 48c | 450$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 35c | 423.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 24c | 352.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…07cfbacked Yes | 30c | 305$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 30cpaid | +205.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…8266backed No | 4c | 291.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked No | 10c | 288.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…0dd1backed No | 4c | 266.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed No | 8c | 259.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -87%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 7c | 249.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…89d9backed No | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…3830backed Yes | 68c | 230$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 179$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 12c | 174.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…b2c6backed No | 22c | 170$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…c042backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 112.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e35…ec97backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…75f3backed No | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96fc…2a5ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…b46dbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb793…16e9backed Yes | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…f2c2backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)this page
- Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)No won
- Will “KPop Demon Hunters” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)No won
- Will “Life of the Party” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.