Movies · resolved market
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4af4302fdea43978a4d66d0336b7bbd116c61e7847c9765cee9c4d50cf1c959
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8266…c472backed Yes | 5c | 4,812$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…ce94backed Yes | 2c | 2,295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,026$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…c816backed Yes | 17c | 1,378$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 4c | 1,297$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…ec98backed No | 59c | 1,272$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…ec13backed Yes | 7c | 1,082$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,059$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 2c | 900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…bc10backed Yes | 50c | 888$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…b2c6backed Yes | 45c | 882.98$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 4c | 876.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 14c | 763.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 11c | 604.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 3c | 492.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 428.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb041…23a7backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 7c | 273.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 254.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…3a94backed No | 71c | 145$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a5…1d13backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 88.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 20c | 53.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…b357backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 55c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…3d81backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)this page
- Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)Yes won
- Will “KPop Demon Hunters” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)No won
- Will “Life of the Party” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.