CS2 · resolved market
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd29808c605c36169030254a5af121b4134f7756ae452c82ef1d1ddf80cd66655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 12c | 41,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 12c | 22,987$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.58 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Yes | 13c | 19,150$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.2 | 260 | 45.8%119 W · 141 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Yes | 9c | 17,481$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.24 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…2f6ebacked Yes | 9c | 11,605$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.35 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ee…dcefbacked Yes | 15c | 7,432$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…8c7dbacked Yes | 10c | 6,575$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 27c | 5,418$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.75 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b5…3364backed Yes | 15c | 5,222$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…af43backed Yes | 18c | 4,837$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e5…a830backed Yes | 15c | 4,211$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…09bebacked Yes | 12c | 4,108$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…cf36backed Yes | 12c | 3,516$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.92 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed Yes | 7c | 2,727$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.16 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a0…9884backed Yes | 28c | 1,807$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Yes | 12c | 1,664$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…6e49backed Yes | 19c | 1,450$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.49 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Yes | 11c | 1,184$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,171$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 261 | 43.3%113 W · 148 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed Yes | 7c | 1,155$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,107$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.12 | 600 | 45.8%275 W · 325 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Yes | 9c | 925.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 72c | 699.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.03 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Yes | 13c | 692.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 76c | 605.35$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 786 | 34%267 W · 519 L | -49.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 23c | 528.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 379 | 52%197 W · 182 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 11c | 510$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 591 | 40.4%239 W · 352 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Yes | 11c | 500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…7cf2backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…7d09backed Yes | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…f430backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 71c | 378$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 473 | 46.7%221 W · 252 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…57e0backed Yes | 16c | 346.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 15c | 327.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 741 | 58%430 W · 311 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked Yes | 9c | 303.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…afa9backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…84b6backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa479…c22cbacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…0a63backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…9e08backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed Yes | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 9c | 285$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 277.28$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b4…9332backed Yes | 14c | 259.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 20c | 224.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…1b83backed Yes | 26c | 220$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 208.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed No | 77c | 198.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…c7a2backed Yes | 7c | 192.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed No | 73c | 186.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090e…1cbcbacked Yes | 21c | 173.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Yes | 14c | 144.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 77c | 139.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Yes | 18c | 137$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 365 | 37.3%136 W · 229 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…74a4backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 12c | 115.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 74c | 110.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…cf5fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0332…fe96backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…9e91backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 780 | 52.8%412 W · 368 L | +28.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes | 18c | 72.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 384 | 41.1%158 W · 226 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a22…8ce0backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…5ab1backed No | 77c | 53.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…84d0backed No | 74c | 19.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?this page
- Will 100 Thieves Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will 3DMAX Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will 9z Globant Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Astralis Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Aurora Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will B8 Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will BB Team Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will BIG Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will FUT Esports Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will FaZe Clan Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will JiJieHao Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will K27 Esports Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Legacy Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Lynn Vision Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will MIBR.LOS Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will NIP.eStar Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will PVISION Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will TYLOO Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit Win the CS2 EWC 2026?Yes won
- Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Wildcard Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will magic Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will paiN Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.