TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Aurora Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,579 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes2c23,672$355 inLost-$355.0837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes1c15,108$221 inLost-$221.3515838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes1c11,675$166 inLost-$166.278614%12 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes2c7,355$120 inLost-$120.035414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c6,517$104 inLost-$103.54700%0 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes1c5,000$75 inLost-$74.846726.9%18 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes2c5,000$115 inLost-$1152941.4%12 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick25cpaid+84.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes2c5,000$95 inLost-$94.99240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes2c3,179$56 inLost-$55.916920.3%14 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x185a…5104backed Yes1c2,408$36 inLost-$35.716714.9%10 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Yes4c2,342$97 inLost-$97.158345.3%264 W · 319 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb53…2860backed Yes2c1,500$23 inLost-$22.57925.3%20 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes1c1,500$21 inLost-$2124943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x788a…a3f7backed Yes1c1,333$20 inLost-$201414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Yes2c1,109$23 inLost-$23.2855441.2%228 W · 326 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b31…b0debacked Yes2c1,059$24 inLost-$244221.4%9 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd445…6e49backed Yes2c1,000$16 inLost-$164117.1%7 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd30…af43backed Yes4c763.53$31 inLost-$30.541010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-81.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28aa…28b8backed Yes2c700$16 inLost-$16.12433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591b…8410backed Yes3c658.45$20 inLost-$203743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.