CS2 · resolved market
Will MOUZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee5fd627d4c25e79e2f16800c012231d507d9175da4987e3c77faa3abc03bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Yes | 3c | 16,986$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.86 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…8c7dbacked Yes | 12c | 14,000$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 7c | 13,261$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.07 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b5…3364backed Yes | 13c | 10,439$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 10c | 9,877$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.41 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed Yes | 8c | 6,413$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.08 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,843$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed Yes | 4c | 5,761$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.31 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 3c | 4,549$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.55 | 86 | 14%12 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…cf36backed Yes | 12c | 3,516$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.85 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed Yes | 10c | 3,032$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Yes | 6c | 2,768$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…282cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,320$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…8410backed Yes | 9c | 1,890$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…2860backed Yes | 6c | 1,691$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Yes | 13c | 1,602$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,417$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.38 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…6e49backed Yes | 7c | 1,370$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,312$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 583 | 45.3%264 W · 319 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yes | 5c | 1,112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 7c | 1,008$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 875$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703f…ba86backed Yes | 13c | 754.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 10c | 680.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 554 | 41.2%228 W · 326 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked Yes | 6c | 542.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 5c | 490.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…f430backed Yes | 12c | 427.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 8c | 408.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…57e0backed Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 9c | 378$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Yes | 9c | 325$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Yes | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462f…cbd6backed Yes | 12c | 241.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…c7a2backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Yes | 12c | 185.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 264 | 48.1%127 W · 137 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…7051backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…87acbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0332…fe96backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MOUZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?this page
- Will 100 Thieves Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will 3DMAX Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will 9z Globant Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Astralis Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Aurora Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will B8 Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will BB Team Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will BIG Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will FaZe Clan Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will JiJieHao Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will K27 Esports Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Legacy Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Lynn Vision Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will MIBR.LOS Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will NIP.eStar Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will PVISION Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will TYLOO Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will Wildcard Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will magic Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will paiN Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.