Europa Conference League · resolved market
Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b6d505a36d96f330f065e63a049bf4b15e41a54b0622b13d0a63272691f29b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef84…6872backed Over | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 16c | 2,396$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.85 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 69c | 1,000$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.28 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 710.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.16 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 56c | 620.37$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.77 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 620.32$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 39c | 567$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.6 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 446.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.15 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 41c | 399.95$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.15 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 61c | 389.31$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.18 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 44c | 322.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 302.3$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.27 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 38c | 293.33$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…7c71backed Over | 75c | 262.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 254.07$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 58c | 239.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 53c | 236.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 59c | 213.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 66c | 200.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…bea7backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 57c | 131.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 58c | 123.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 9c | 119.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 116.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Under | 57c | 100.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 87.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 30c | 80.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 46c | 79.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 23c | 68.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 42c | 59.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 77c | 54.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 36c | 53.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 47c | 44.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 40.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Over | 46c | 38.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 40c | 32.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 58c | 30.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 45c | 24.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e05backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 2.5this page
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: Alashkert FA O/U 1.5Under won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: Elimai FK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 0.5Over won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 3.5Under won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 4.5Under won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Alashkert FA (-1.5)Elimai FK won
- Spread: Elimai FK (-1.5)Alashkert FA won
- Spread: Elimai FK (-2.5)Alashkert FA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.