Europa Conference League · resolved market
Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x730cd772304c8137f8b8f908da1e07dec31a8f0b454fe7c023148ac0407e61a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Yes | 50c | 603.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 427.86$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.93 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 51c | 235.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27d…9587backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 100.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 57.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 40.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 38.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 24.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 49c | 21.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 20.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: Alashkert FA O/U 1.5Under won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: Elimai FK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 0.5Over won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 2.5Under won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 3.5Under won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 4.5Under won
- Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Alashkert FA (-1.5)Elimai FK won
- Spread: Elimai FK (-1.5)Alashkert FA won
- Spread: Elimai FK (-2.5)Alashkert FA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.