Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Madison Keys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x852ff72457452dd7ec879b06eec25083890717e7932abafc7bfedb81f8eed1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liudmila Samsonovaof Liudmila Samsonova, Madison Keys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $878,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $935,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Liudmila Samsonova | 33c | 168,556$56,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,496.13 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…2e21backed Liudmila Samsonova | 43c | 75,185$32,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,731.55 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Madison Keys | 70c | 63,328$44,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,142.1 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Madison Keys | 60c | 60,379$36,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,149.23 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Madison Keys | 73c | 54,179$39,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,653.03 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Madison Keys | 58c | 52,287$30,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,067.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Madison Keys | 65c | 38,263$24,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,973.04 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Liudmila Samsonova | 24c | 37,556$8,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,628.87 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Madison Keys | 67c | 30,000$20,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,100 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Madison Keys | 76c | 15,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Liudmila Samsonova | 38c | 14,143$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,819.53 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Madison Keys | 70c | 12,931$9,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,008.07 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Liudmila Samsonova | 29c | 10,620$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,591.11 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Liudmila Samsonova | 27c | 10,577$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,688.46 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Liudmila Samsonova | 32c | 10,390$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,022.41 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Liudmila Samsonova | 29c | 9,419$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,642.21 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Madison Keys | 75c | 7,891$5,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,918.48 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Liudmila Samsonova | 77c | 7,770$6,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.06 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…2617backed Madison Keys | 76c | 6,400$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Liudmila Samsonova | 68c | 6,372$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Madison Keys | 60c | 5,825$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Madison Keys | 33c | 5,766$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.64 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Madison Keys | 64c | 5,605$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.24 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Liudmila Samsonova | 33c | 5,030$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.3 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Liudmila Samsonova | 25c | 4,500$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.51 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Liudmila Samsonova | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Madison Keys | 34c | 3,945$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.52 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Liudmila Samsonova | 35c | 3,702$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.68 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…2289backed Madison Keys | 70c | 3,080$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.78 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Liudmila Samsonova | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Madison Keys | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…500dbacked Liudmila Samsonova | 44c | 2,945$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Liudmila Samsonova | 58c | 2,866$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.73 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Madison Keys | 74c | 2,717$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Liudmila Samsonova | 24c | 2,500$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.48 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Madison Keys | 23c | 2,473$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.87 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Liudmila Samsonova | 24c | 2,453$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.24 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Liudmila Samsonova | 24c | 2,292$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.66 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Madison Keys | 66c | 2,289$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.45 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Madison Keys | 63c | 2,236$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.51 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Madison Keys | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Madison Keys | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Madison Keys | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Liudmila Samsonova | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.71 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Liudmila Samsonova | 9c | 1,581$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.81 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Liudmila Samsonova | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.98 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Madison Keys | 60c | 1,466$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.44 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Liudmila Samsonova | 26c | 1,461$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.94 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Liudmila Samsonova | 19c | 1,451$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.29 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Madison Keys | 69c | 1,448$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.1 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…20b0backed Madison Keys | 77c | 1,304$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…5af9backed Madison Keys | 57c | 1,299$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Madison Keys | 57c | 1,281$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.37 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Liudmila Samsonova | 33c | 1,275$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.5 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Madison Keys | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Liudmila Samsonova | 42c | 1,230$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.34 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Madison Keys | 68c | 1,112$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.28 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf60…56c0backed Madison Keys | 71c | 1,099$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Liudmila Samsonova | 40c | 1,066$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.81 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed Madison Keys | 75c | 1,060$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Liudmila Samsonova | 14c | 1,036$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.56 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Liudmila Samsonova | 23c | 1,007$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Liudmila Samsonova | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Liudmila Samsonova | 34c | 978$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.39 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…6f02backed Madison Keys | 47c | 926.32$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Madison Keys | 69c | 876.94$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.09 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b26ebacked Liudmila Samsonova | 11c | 866.73$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.39 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Madison Keys | 19c | 844.6$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Liudmila Samsonova | 32c | 837.45$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.38 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Madison Keys | 48c | 825.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Liudmila Samsonova | 18c | 795.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.18 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Liudmila Samsonova | 30c | 792.18$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.66 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Madison Keys | 68c | 778.78$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.57 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…fcfcbacked Liudmila Samsonova | 26c | 774.28$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Liudmila Samsonova | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0b14backed Madison Keys | 78c | 749.6$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.22 | 105 | 73.3%77 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Liudmila Samsonova | 24c | 747.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.43 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Madison Keys | 69c | 728.2$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.57 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Madison Keys | 59c | 700$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.91 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Madison Keys | 66c | 681.22$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Madison Keys | 76c | 675.97$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.74 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Liudmila Samsonova | 37c | 674.02$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.92 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b5…0fcebacked Liudmila Samsonova | 47c | 640.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.53 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Liudmila Samsonova | 32c | 626.36$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.43 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Liudmila Samsonova | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Liudmila Samsonova | 11c | 618.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.18 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Liudmila Samsonova | 33c | 552.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.89 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Madison Keys | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Madison Keys | 65c | 540.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Madison Keys | 75c | 540$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Madison Keys | 76c | 531.71$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.1 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Liudmila Samsonova | 24c | 517.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.66 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…7f32backed Liudmila Samsonova | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Madison Keys | 54c | 511.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Madison Keys | 19c | 501.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Madison Keys | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Liudmila Samsonova | 35c | 452.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.46 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Liudmila Samsonova | 23c | 443.52$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Madison Keys | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Liudmila Samsonova | 24c | 428.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.58 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Madison Keysthis page
- Samsonova vs. Keys: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Samsonova vs KeysKeys won
- Set 2 Winner: Samsonova vs KeysSamsonova won
- Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Samsonova (+1.5)Samsonova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.