CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7aac63f167ab5ceca12ce671a943b520e78a740508d484bc004ce1f45ecc2d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 1,244$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.6 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 51c | 672.69$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.07 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…4df4backed Over | 49c | 594.21$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 51c | 566.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.51 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 45c | 207.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 199.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Over | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 48c | 190.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…46e0backed Over | 52c | 122.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 67c | 98.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 51c | 97.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Over | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…bea7backed Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 57c | 89.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…1d1abacked Over | 59c | 89.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 51c | 86.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…b066backed Over | 49c | 81.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 58c | 67.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2186…271bbacked Over | 49c | 67.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…78b8backed Over | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…2152backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 52c | 48.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…a81bbacked Over | 49c | 44.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 50c | 43.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5717…58b4backed Over | 59c | 41.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…2dbebacked Over | 48c | 40.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed Over | 49c | 39.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 37.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…0056backed Over | 49c | 36.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Over | 49c | 33.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 47c | 32.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37da…41d2backed Over | 48c | 31.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 77c | 29.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657f…3d6fbacked Over | 49c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…232dbacked Over | 49c | 27.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…c631backed Over | 49c | 24.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed Over | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Over | 67c | 17.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.