CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69cffdd8ea8f611e49f9b88e763e76a4bc71e050ac70a7ecc14370e156723811
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof Natus Vincere, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked FURIA | 73c | 100,210$73,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,060.96 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 95,973$25,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,912.67 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 26,500$6,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,890 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed FURIA | 74c | 26,087$19,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,782.52 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed FURIA | 73c | 3,671$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.47 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,089$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,354$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.05 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed FURIA | 74c | 1,330$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.87 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 51c | 521.46$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.67 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked FURIA | 52c | 374.45$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.23 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 370.53$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 335.09$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked FURIA | 50c | 282.25$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…af42backed FURIA | 72c | 275.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 271.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 209.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed FURIA | 51c | 201.19$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 191.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 191.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 190.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed FURIA | 53c | 127.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…2acabacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 126.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked FURIA | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked FURIA | 70c | 117.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed FURIA | 45c | 117.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 114.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 96.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed FURIA | 56c | 93.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef07…5bd2backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed FURIA | 75c | 92.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed FURIA | 48c | 91.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 88.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 87.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 84.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 83.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked FURIA | 60c | 80.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…d118backed FURIA | 54c | 72.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…bcf3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…b244backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed FURIA | 55c | 62.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 50.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 47.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed FURIA | 49c | 43.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…95e9backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 43.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed FURIA | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked FURIA | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…ee0bbacked FURIA | 72c | 36.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 35.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed FURIA | 60c | 30.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 29.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d2…0290backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 28.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ba…4f18backed FURIA | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked FURIA | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FURIA | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed FURIA | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…0f61backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 18.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…fb69backed FURIA | 56c | 18.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.