Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7808eac91a43c4e9fdeb2c8a5e17a59480c3e0136c1a4d880c001c4166d83b0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,458$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.84 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…11e0backed No | 70c | 402.28$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 397.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 17c | 343.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 31c | 330.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 65c | 307$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…43b6backed Yes | 18c | 277$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 9c | 195.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 32c | 186.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 28c | 185.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 185.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 74c | 156.46$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 8c | 153.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 66c | 150.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 19c | 148.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…ee11backed Yes | 33c | 142.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 30c | 134.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…e26dbacked Yes | 35c | 133.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…907bbacked No | 68c | 129.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 123.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 38c | 118.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 112.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…7b02backed Yes | 42c | 108.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 26c | 105.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 16c | 103.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 69c | 102.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…8f7abacked Yes | 17c | 99.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 33c | 97.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 34c | 97.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 28c | 95.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 68c | 95.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…d0f4backed Yes | 32c | 91.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 88.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 70c | 85.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 25c | 79.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 24c | 72.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 41c | 70.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 68.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 75c | 65.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 64.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…24e3backed Yes | 32c | 64.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…6e9dbacked Yes | 28c | 63.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 29c | 61.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…9d77backed Yes | 40c | 60.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 29c | 60.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…6efcbacked Yes | 20c | 59.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 219 | 30.1%66 W · 153 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 37c | 59.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 57.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 33c | 57.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 31c | 56.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…3a45backed Yes | 34c | 54.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0675…1ec0backed No | 68c | 47.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…2623backed Yes | 36c | 45.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea84…dec2backed Yes | 31c | 45.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 77c | 44.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed No | 68c | 42.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…43a8backed No | 66c | 41.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…4c7abacked Yes | 34c | 41.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3274…4493backed Yes | 34c | 40.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 34c | 40.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 66c | 40.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 34c | 38.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde08…b228backed No | 79c | 37.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 36c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 66c | 36.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 69c | 35.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 35c | 33.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…0925backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…b209backed Yes | 38c | 30.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -12.8wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 74c | 26.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 66c | 20.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…eab4backed No | 80c | 19.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 80c | 16.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb218…edfdbacked No | 68c | 16.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 69c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe027…e71ebacked No | 79c | 14.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 179 | 78.8%141 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 78cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on April 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.