TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Sloane Stephens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sloane Stephensof Diane Parry, Sloane Stephens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa82a…a759backed Diane Parry69c8,831$6,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,069.1133955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Diane Parry17c5,702$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.476,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac7…78ebbacked Diane Parry71c5,555$3,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,929.778554.1%46 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Diane Parry8c5,403$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.969,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sloane Stephens28c4,289$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.3676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Diane Parry11c3,021$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.8611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Sloane Stephens29c2,632$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.1197745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sloane Stephens67c2,184$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.122,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Diane Parry73c2,103$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.7117452.9%92 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Diane Parry70c1,872$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.675949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Sloane Stephens30c1,743$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.971,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Diane Parry12c1,617$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.452,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Sloane Stephens30c1,346$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.1998841.3%408 W · 580 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Sloane Stephens30c1,254$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.9615948.4%77 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Sloane Stephens31c1,235$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.432853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Diane Parry4c1,054$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.171,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Diane Parry4c1,054$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1760355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Diane Parry7c1,054$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.765455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked Sloane Stephens30c1,001$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.77250%36 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Sloane Stephens31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69032247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2814…2941backed Sloane Stephens31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d6b…dd2bbacked Sloane Stephens32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6802100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+164.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba0d…dd6bbacked Sloane Stephens31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6905044%22 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sloane Stephens28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.993,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Diane Parry15c999.63$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.526,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Sloane Stephens31c852.64$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Diane Parry9c661.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.732425%6 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sloane Stephens28c616.37$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.794,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sloane Stephens30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Diane Parry4c589$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5628454.9%156 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Diane Parry4c512.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5243752.2%228 W · 209 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Sloane Stephens29c466.98$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.322,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Diane Parry25c420.3$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.61,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Diane Parry10c400$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Diane Parry6c308.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.957052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Sloane Stephens27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2191,75449.1%862 W · 892 L+56.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Diane Parry13c299.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1128835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Sloane Stephens31c290.58$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8633658.3%196 W · 140 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba8d…67f0backed Diane Parry73c283.85$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.571926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Sloane Stephens29c252.89$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5522243.2%96 W · 126 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Diane Parry7c242.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.522113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Diane Parry9c238.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.085,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Diane Parry16c228.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.24,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Sloane Stephens30c226.92$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8478452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd926…0dd7backed Diane Parry6c208.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Diane Parry73c202.66$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9412361%75 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Sloane Stephens30c191.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1216553.9%89 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Sloane Stephens29c189$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1956927.2%155 W · 414 L+22.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Sloane Stephens28c188.49$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7119634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Diane Parry73c169.21$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5350259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Sloane Stephens27c165.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.062,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Diane Parry73c163.31$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2226957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Diane Parry9c160.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Sloane Stephens32c160$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.887135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sloane Stephens31c157.35$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.523,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Sloane Stephens28c150$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2549142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Diane Parry11c146.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0928833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Diane Parry13c142.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.481,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc794…d010backed Diane Parry12c141.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.943119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3274…4493backed Diane Parry14c135.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.97520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Sloane Stephens29c130$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.395140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Sloane Stephens29c108$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6817758.8%104 W · 73 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Diane Parry73c107.81$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.720270.8%143 W · 59 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Diane Parry14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Diane Parry73c104.28$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1334860.3%210 W · 138 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Sloane Stephens32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Diane Parry15c98.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.412,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Diane Parry13c92.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Diane Parry72c85.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3281956.9%466 W · 353 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Sloane Stephens32c79.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8512933.3%43 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Diane Parry73c73.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8639052.1%203 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Sloane Stephens29c67.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.582,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked Sloane Stephens27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.810751.4%55 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Sloane Stephens31c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Sloane Stephens49c56.73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7443950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Diane Parry73c44.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3264358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Diane Parry72c40.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2526…9f68backed Diane Parry73c40.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.512268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Diane Parry72c40.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0924965.1%162 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Sloane Stephens72c39.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.044383.7%36 W · 7 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+40.3%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed Sloane Stephens30c36.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0411949.6%59 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Sloane Stephens30c34.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.469051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Diane Parry70c28.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9153544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Diane Parry73c24.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9525366.8%169 W · 84 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x454b…8528backed Diane Parry73c19.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.