Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03d37db4ed6ec6663025365ca74606b09dd6f7bac6596ae22eb9f69423beccdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof Shifters, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e78…29d0backed Shifters | 21c | 9,181$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.09 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Shifters | 31c | 6,174$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.44 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shifters | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed G2 Esports | 79c | 3,256$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.86 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed G2 Esports | 78c | 2,500$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.33 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…3365backed G2 Esports | 80c | 2,160$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.96 | 253 | 68.4%173 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed G2 Esports | 76c | 1,335$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.17 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked G2 Esports | 79c | 1,292$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.3 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 Esports | 75c | 1,147$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.84 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Shifters | 45c | 995$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.3 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed G2 Esports | 78c | 897.44$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked G2 Esports | 73c | 806.87$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.85 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Shifters | 20c | 723.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed G2 Esports | 21c | 714.01$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.52 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shifters | 24c | 599.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed G2 Esports | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Shifters | 19c | 500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Shifters | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 115 | 32.2%37 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Shifters | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Shifters | 20c | 280.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked G2 Esports | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked G2 Esports | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 520 | 65.4%340 W · 180 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed G2 Esports | 19c | 189.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.32 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed G2 Esports | 19c | 165.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.09 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed G2 Esports | 29c | 146.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed G2 Esports | 78c | 126.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed G2 Esports | 77c | 119.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Shifters | 22c | 114.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Shifters | 19c | 113.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Shifters | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed G2 Esports | 79c | 104.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Shifters | 24c | 104.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Shifters | 23c | 103.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked G2 Esports | 74c | 51.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed G2 Esports | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed G2 Esports | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed G2 Esports | 79c | 25.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…d0aabacked G2 Esports | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 381 | 64.3%245 W · 136 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed G2 Esports | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed G2 Esports | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.