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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Invictus Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Invictus Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd202…8973backed Invictus Gaming26c28,176$7,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,850.3539135.8%140 W · 251 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bilibili Gaming74c20,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,799.981,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Bilibili Gaming3c12,221$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.083775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Bilibili Gaming69c10,353$7,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,119.81,20754%652 W · 555 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Invictus Gaming25c8,000$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,029.933,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76cf…9452backed Invictus Gaming23c7,750$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,982.7610941.3%45 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Invictus Gaming36c7,681$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.281,02046.9%478 W · 542 L+19.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Bilibili Gaming74c6,390$4,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,756.8952848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Bilibili Gaming77c6,001$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,620.4382452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Invictus Gaming66c4,278$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45276739.6%304 W · 463 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Invictus Gaming24c4,246$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,213.117041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Bilibili Gaming62c4,183$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.381,82039.2%714 W · 1,106 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Bilibili Gaming74c4,134$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.5260050.2%301 W · 299 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked Bilibili Gaming66c4,000$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.639129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf56e…2d64backed Bilibili Gaming71c3,984$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.067248.6%35 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Bilibili Gaming74c3,187$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.2714247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Invictus Gaming25c2,890$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.1791537.5%343 W · 572 L-19.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Bilibili Gaming76c2,839$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.959658.2%347 W · 249 L-29.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Bilibili Gaming74c2,400$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.0164949.8%323 W · 326 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Invictus Gaming43c2,351$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.171,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a79…6acebacked Bilibili Gaming2c2,341$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.222450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Invictus Gaming26c2,037$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.6131838.1%121 W · 197 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Bilibili Gaming75c2,000$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.9916254.9%89 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bilibili Gaming53c1,941$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.651,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb08…b630backed Invictus Gaming49c1,910$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.1417032.9%56 W · 114 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Bilibili Gaming9c1,776$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.841118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick9cpaid+114.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Invictus Gaming42c1,702$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.0773237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Bilibili Gaming44c1,673$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.0481443.5%354 W · 460 L+30.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Bilibili Gaming67c1,665$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.31,47361.4%904 W · 569 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6dd…edafbacked Bilibili Gaming63c1,634$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02313165.6%86 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Bilibili Gaming76c1,577$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.4910051%51 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Bilibili Gaming40c1,496$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.4275942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Invictus Gaming22c1,482$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.072,02158.1%1,174 W · 847 L+86.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Invictus Gaming60c1,457$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.911,50148.4%727 W · 774 L+47.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Bilibili Gaming48c1,453$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.541,31355.8%733 W · 580 L+43.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Bilibili Gaming63c1,410$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.7511060.9%67 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3cd…9f3ebacked Invictus Gaming33c1,370$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.7115357.5%88 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Bilibili Gaming77c1,323$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.711,60153.7%859 W · 742 L+55.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Invictus Gaming50c1,270$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.7650242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee0…ae41backed Invictus Gaming70c1,258$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.257664.5%49 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Bilibili Gaming73c1,203$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.991,33153.2%708 W · 623 L+36.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Bilibili Gaming58c1,179$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.549253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd91…5d82backed Bilibili Gaming49c1,176$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.156347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Bilibili Gaming77c1,168$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.131,22354.4%665 W · 558 L+51.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed08…e082backed Invictus Gaming51c1,128$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.7919860.1%119 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Bilibili Gaming63c1,050$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.583054.5%452 W · 378 L+2.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3072…4ca9backed Bilibili Gaming51c1,018$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.8613647.1%64 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Bilibili Gaming1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed Invictus Gaming51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4907631.6%24 W · 52 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Invictus Gaming24c999.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76024147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Invictus Gaming50c999.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50084650.1%424 W · 422 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…46aebacked Invictus Gaming43c999.98$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.991050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Invictus Gaming33c999.97$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9823252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Invictus Gaming63c993.62$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.7384660.8%514 W · 332 L+44.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbb1…204dbacked Invictus Gaming22c953.2$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.56342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe891…e3ddbacked Bilibili Gaming78c930.83$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.8512660.3%76 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Bilibili Gaming64c863.75$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.995951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Bilibili Gaming74c805.47$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.3916456.7%93 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Bilibili Gaming74c795.63$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.7335160.7%213 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Invictus Gaming22c785.2$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.5689244.1%393 W · 499 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming11c777.83$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.982,72735.9%980 W · 1,747 L-153.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Bilibili Gaming75c777.51$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.1386144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Invictus Gaming24c777$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.521,61248.4%780 W · 832 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Invictus Gaming25c699.99$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.551,24349.7%618 W · 625 L+16.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Bilibili Gaming79c695.16$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.4265053.8%350 W · 300 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed Bilibili Gaming77c683$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.9157754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Bilibili Gaming7c677.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.641,5213.3%50 W · 1,471 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa56f…ee5fbacked Bilibili Gaming73c663.64$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.014443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x76d5…f86cbacked Invictus Gaming54c622.37$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.559136.3%33 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Invictus Gaming23c614.13$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.0454246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Invictus Gaming21c613.74$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.3566942.9%287 W · 382 L-30.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Invictus Gaming26c592.73$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.091,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa430…c6f9backed Bilibili Gaming75c590.44$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.2926150.6%132 W · 129 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Bilibili Gaming56c588.05$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.41,18952%618 W · 571 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Invictus Gaming20c581.57$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.252,83941.4%1,175 W · 1,664 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Invictus Gaming51c574.59$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.4735164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Bilibili Gaming42c552.81$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0629846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Invictus Gaming46c545.48$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.0674344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ce…e206backed Invictus Gaming23c528.38$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.8522852.6%120 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Invictus Gaming42c526.49$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.1552538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Bilibili Gaming35c524.77$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1179653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Bilibili Gaming16c502.16$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.251,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Invictus Gaming20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40056341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Invictus Gaming34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33032651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Invictus Gaming24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801,42143.7%621 W · 800 L-4.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Invictus Gaming36c499.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9918747.1%88 W · 99 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Invictus Gaming61c493.33$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.41,22848.5%596 W · 632 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked Invictus Gaming28c478.4$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.4533258.4%194 W · 138 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Bilibili Gaming78c469.17$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9571249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Invictus Gaming21c460.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.921,68859.5%1,004 W · 684 L+99.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked Bilibili Gaming65c460.07$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.289456.4%53 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed Bilibili Gaming63c459.75$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.6427248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Bilibili Gaming66c445.65$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.8753753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Bilibili Gaming77c441.34$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.831,45357.3%833 W · 620 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Bilibili Gaming32c436.42$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.092,25533.1%746 W · 1,509 L-76.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0211…41f4backed Invictus Gaming22c433.27$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.955166.7%34 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Invictus Gaming60c424.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17056650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2489…ee90backed Bilibili Gaming46c420.19$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.537037.1%26 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27c7…ba3ebacked Invictus Gaming67c406.6$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7933669.6%234 W · 102 L+28.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+10.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed Invictus Gaming40c403.29$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.149034.1%167 W · 323 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.