Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156a0d3d84a62ef857c3f52bfffe3eea131b9487d2333fa56bfd8ff408a84d50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictus Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 3,024$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.13 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Invictus Gaming | 42c | 2,948$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.83 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 2,817$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.59 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 2,414$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.46 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Invictus Gaming | 37c | 2,408$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.13 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Invictus Gaming | 42c | 2,047$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.24 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Invictus Gaming | 41c | 1,186$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.87 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.88 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Invictus Gaming | 43c | 893.47$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.26 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Invictus Gaming | 43c | 810.82$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.17 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 756.31$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.66 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Invictus Gaming | 42c | 641.57$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.11 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.44 | 394 | 50.3%198 W · 196 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 454.26$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.47 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Invictus Gaming | 43c | 449.19$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.04 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Invictus Gaming | 44c | 429.97$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.78 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 254.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Invictus Gaming | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Invictus Gaming | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…e3ddbacked Invictus Gaming | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 223.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Invictus Gaming | 40c | 207.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Invictus Gaming | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 195.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 194.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 170.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.79 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 165.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 165.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Invictus Gaming | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 98.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Invictus Gaming | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Invictus Gaming | 44c | 84.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Invictus Gaming | 18c | 71.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Invictus Gaming | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Invictus Gaming | 48c | 68.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…f851backed Invictus Gaming | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 55c | 56.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Invictus Gaming | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Invictus Gaming | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…db92backed Invictus Gaming | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e80…2752backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Invictus Gaming | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…48dfbacked Invictus Gaming | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed Invictus Gaming | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Invictus Gaming | 38c | 36.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Invictus Gaming | 41c | 35.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 34.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 390 | 48.2%188 W · 202 L | +26.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Invictus Gaming | 46c | 27.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.