MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bee10914847e13b676159a169137dcdab0a32ef96bd60364caff8465891b935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $496,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed New York Mets | 40c | 139,967$56,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,300.21 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Athletics | 40c | 117,141$47,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,061.5 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked New York Mets | 60c | 40,351$24,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,407.32 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Athletics | 41c | 20,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,899.95 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked New York Mets | 42c | 19,785$8,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,402.24 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 60c | 16,267$9,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,760 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 49c | 15,069$7,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,631.68 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York Mets | 59c | 11,959$7,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,022.46 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Mets | 59c | 11,776$6,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,947.89 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Athletics | 40c | 11,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Athletics | 39c | 10,557$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,438.37 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 52c | 8,344$4,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.57 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 59c | 6,364$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.72 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 70c | 6,233$4,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.47 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Athletics | 80c | 6,100$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.77 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Mets | 65c | 5,911$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.02 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…ce58backed Athletics | 63c | 5,896$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New York Mets | 46c | 5,504$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.81 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 59c | 5,269$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.53 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 63c | 4,597$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.01 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 59c | 4,424$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.94 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Athletics | 53c | 4,230$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.25 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 20c | 3,789$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.74 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Athletics | 41c | 3,660$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.37 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 60c | 3,187$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.6 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed New York Mets | 47c | 3,156$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.12 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9e…de51backed Athletics | 41c | 2,843$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked New York Mets | 60c | 2,801$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.88 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Athletics | 62c | 2,742$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.84 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Athletics | 60c | 2,619$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.71 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Athletics | 39c | 2,503$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.57 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed New York Mets | 59c | 2,455$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.47 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed New York Mets | 32c | 2,239$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.52 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 36c | 2,033$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.7 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Mets | 59c | 2,025$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.63 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed New York Mets | 47c | 2,009$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.11 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Mets | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Athletics | 48c | 1,975$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.29 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Athletics | 41c | 1,950$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.75 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 72c | 1,709$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.25 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed New York Mets | 33c | 1,448$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.68 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Athletics | 70c | 1,432$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.52 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 60c | 1,431$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked New York Mets | 35c | 1,430$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.82 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Athletics | 57c | 1,414$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.71 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 61c | 1,398$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.79 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed New York Mets | 60c | 1,354$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.38 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 44c | 1,347$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.76 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Athletics | 79c | 1,340$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.43 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Athletics | 41c | 1,176$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.04 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked New York Mets | 47c | 1,110$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.92 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Athletics | 41c | 1,106$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.4 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked New York Mets | 56c | 1,084$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.05 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Mets | 30c | 1,040$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.83 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Athletics | 75c | 1,021$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.52 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Athletics | 41c | 1,020$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.8 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Athletics | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Athletics | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Mets | 6c | 991.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed New York Mets | 34c | 978.46$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.1 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed New York Mets | 60c | 976$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.6 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Athletics | 53c | 952.09$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.76 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed New York Mets | 20c | 952$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Athletics | 62c | 950.1$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.93 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Athletics | 55c | 944.73$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics | 41c | 905.88$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.58 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed New York Mets | 18c | 888.25$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Athletics | 76c | 821.69$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed New York Mets | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed New York Mets | 60c | 811.99$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 40c | 811.38$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.48 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 37c | 807.26$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.96 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Athletics | 41c | 770.61$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.95 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Athletics | 41c | 723.45$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.84 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Athletics | 62c | 716.66$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.76 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed New York Mets | 6c | 702.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 333 | 28.2%94 W · 239 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Athletics | 57c | 673.19$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.15 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Athletics | 39c | 652$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.72 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…9c3abacked Athletics | 42c | 649.9$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Athletics | 71c | 643.7$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.74 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Athletics | 41c | 588.17$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.02 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Athletics | 61c | 577.73$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.14 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Athletics | 61c | 556.93$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.62 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Athletics | 76c | 550.04$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…72d7backed Athletics | 64c | 505.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Athletics | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Athletics | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 40c | 450$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Athletics | 47c | 443.62$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.05 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked New York Mets | 59c | 436.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.82 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked New York Mets | 18c | 433.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked New York Mets | 54c | 417.47$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.7 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Mets | 60c | 406.67$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Athletics | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked New York Mets | 35c | 375.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Athletics | 54c | 359.79$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Athletics | 41c | 355.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Athletics | 57c | 344.86$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.78 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New York Mets | 39c | 332.29$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. New York Metsthis page
- Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
- Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 13.5Over won
- Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 14.5Over won
- Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 15.5Over won
- Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-5.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.