Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3be765361fa6f969bd54f89ec620bd34eec0e84d07de506ac8fefdb6f0f9f41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 54c | 7,782$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.83 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 46c | 5,555$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.3 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 54c | 3,853$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 46c | 2,048$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.3 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 42c | 1,684$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.54 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Over | 46c | 1,241$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.88 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 55c | 737.41$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.83 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 45c | 499.95$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 375$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 58c | 369.76$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.39 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Under | 66c | 329.38$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 51c | 307.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.61 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 56c | 287.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 46c | 273.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 213.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9085…23e8backed Over | 49c | 198.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 192.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 7c | 190.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…2142backed Under | 53c | 185.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 43c | 166.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Under | 68c | 146.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 46c | 137.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 32c | 135.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Over | 46c | 107.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Under | 75c | 106.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…a124backed Over | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 55c | 87.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Under | 52c | 62.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 52c | 62.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 55c | 59.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed Under | 55c | 56.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 56c | 50.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 49c | 49.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 55c | 49.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Under | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 52c | 45.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…2e40backed Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 66c | 41.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 47c | 39.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Under | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Under | 60c | 32.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 47c | 31.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 259 | 60.2%156 W · 103 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 46c | 29.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 47c | 26.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 390 | 48.2%188 W · 202 L | +26.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 60c | 22.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 56c | 18.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BNK FEARX won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.