Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb895c5daeb13948684fd6f3c843c3b4bda44beb7954dd6aa6fb821eed6ce9f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 58c | 11,275$6,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,771.06 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 61c | 6,416$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.29 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 41c | 3,428$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.68 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f73…1b52backed Under | 42c | 3,378$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Under | 42c | 2,218$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.43 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Under | 37c | 1,755$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.48 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Under | 44c | 1,572$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.49 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Under | 43c | 1,232$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.81 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 42c | 1,118$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.47 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 42c | 791.46$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.41 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Under | 42c | 611.29$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.74 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 37c | 600.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.27 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 37c | 572.12$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 595 | 48.2%287 W · 308 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Under | 40c | 560$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Under | 46c | 543.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Under | 43c | 527.33$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.75 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 266 | 39.5%105 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 57c | 354.38$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 57c | 288$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed Under | 43c | 172.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Under | 44c | 138.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Over | 58c | 135.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…71a1backed Under | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…2ddfbacked Under | 69c | 34.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…c833backed Under | 42c | 33.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 58c | 21.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BNK FEARX won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.