Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb767111a615ea5f5ae3a2cb88491deb3238ec27794aa221b1c849e913d5857fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9cf…9527backed Under | 43c | 18,750$8,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,695.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Under | 28c | 16,740$4,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,063.29 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Over | 58c | 16,480$9,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,521.51 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…fcb2backed Under | 37c | 8,204$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 36cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked Over | 71c | 8,000$5,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,649.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Under | 29c | 7,777$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,521.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 52c | 6,862$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.5 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Under | 62c | 6,368$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.28 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…79fabacked Over | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Over | 61c | 4,419$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.5 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Over | 75c | 4,098$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.09 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Over | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Under | 57c | 3,273$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.2 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…fc2dbacked Under | 63c | 3,164$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under | 31c | 3,148$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.31 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 44cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b2…d669backed Over | 72c | 3,121$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Under | 27c | 3,040$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed Under | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.13 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.97 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf359…d1a3backed Under | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…fb78backed Under | 29c | 2,995$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.3 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…79a2backed Over | 55c | 2,894$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd85…1388backed Under | 51c | 2,566$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Under | 26c | 2,529$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.94 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Under | 65c | 2,528$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 71c | 2,454$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.43 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Under | 34c | 2,366$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.43 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Over | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Under | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…f3c5backed Over | 37c | 1,988$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…c073backed Under | 52c | 1,833$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…ae8ebacked Over | 71c | 1,774$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.71 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…8632backed Under | 63c | 1,754$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 62c | 1,719$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.64 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…0461backed Over | 73c | 1,696$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…c7b4backed Under | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ce…2e71backed Over | 72c | 1,565$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…a857backed Over | 72c | 1,549$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…1fcabacked Over | 72c | 1,388$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9f…07c6backed Over | 54c | 1,340$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7367…94c1backed Over | 78c | 1,284$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Under | 34c | 1,267$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…47efbacked Under | 65c | 1,238$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Under | 46c | 1,226$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.66 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Over | 72c | 1,127$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.61 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Over | 72c | 1,067$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 71c | 1,033$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.58 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a1…6acabacked Over | 71c | 1,028$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…babcbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…59f0backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Under | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…8783backed Under | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 71c | 999.99$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…1d3bbacked Over | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…07bebacked Under | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…0c35backed Under | 56c | 967.48$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b7…4bccbacked Under | 30c | 836.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +158%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad07…9822backed Over | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 29c | 822.67$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…ba84backed Under | 40c | 812.65$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Over | 16c | 810.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8990…091abacked Under | 41c | 800.49$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Under | 28c | 800$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Under | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…bb08backed Under | 31c | 747.56$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…e3c8backed Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…7256backed Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 43cpaid | -90%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0296…735cbacked Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…bee6backed Under | 29c | 685.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Under | 29c | 664.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.81 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2e…ff15backed Over | 71c | 648.8$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c59…c136backed Over | 73c | 600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…a124backed Over | 52c | 600$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed Over | 68c | 591.45$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf2…4755backed Over | 68c | 590.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 62c | 574$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.88 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed84…f638backed Over | 72c | 571.23$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Under | 49c | 566.29$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.29 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa92a…9c81backed Over | 72c | 559.43$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 29c | 535.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.21 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…c01fbacked Under | 57c | 519.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…e70fbacked Over | 72c | 513.89$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Over | 71c | 503.86$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adc…ba47backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…c640backed Under | 37c | 497.3$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Under | 38c | 484.78$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.72 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfb…6acabacked Over | 3c | 484$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…de69backed Over | 71c | 478.62$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 469.89$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.7 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…3d9dbacked Under | 64c | 458.19$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…8b8bbacked Over | 71c | 450$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…fdb6backed Over | 70c | 420$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…3ef9backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…ae08backed Under | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Under | 55c | 411.09$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…9139backed Over | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293a…2554backed Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…4359backed Over | 14c | 394.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.