Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d930e399a79d3da73543dae317559ff472919c381b063cfee0cfc2ee3eae1ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 1c | 4,705$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Over | 1c | 2,444$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 22c | 2,427$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.66 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Under | 77c | 1,100$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a3…e3a5backed Under | 64c | 901.22$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.44 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed Over | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked Over | 2c | 809.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…4723backed Under | 68c | 749.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Under | 76c | 749.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 134 | 29.1%39 W · 95 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Under | 75c | 536.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 23c | 524.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed84…f638backed Under | 74c | 506.76$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a10…1492backed Over | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…a20cbacked Over | 26c | 409.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 65c | 396.91$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Over | 16c | 352.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Over | 21c | 340.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 23c | 311.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…8c00backed Under | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad1d…a725backed Over | 34c | 293.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6db…a534backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…ba84backed Over | 24c | 245.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…774bbacked Over | 32c | 220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c3…9d95backed Under | 68c | 208$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…c1b6backed Over | 30c | 201$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…f3c8backed Under | 70c | 189$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…887fbacked Over | 33c | 183.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad07…9822backed Over | 29c | 173.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…8f32backed Over | 29c | 165$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…48fdbacked Under | 71c | 157$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed Under | 71c | 132.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…93f1backed Under | 79c | 127.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 66c | 122.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0b…f651backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…c69cbacked Over | 34c | 88.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Under | 66c | 87.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 25c | 72.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…926dbacked Over | 36c | 67.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c6…1169backed Under | 75c | 66.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…086cbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fd…a460backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e8fdbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…43dabacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…8938backed Over | 34c | 54.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…5dabbacked Over | 33c | 54.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…bb08backed Under | 67c | 51.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Over | 25c | 49.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f2…dfa3backed Under | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.