Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37e27a528f69a3eb86ccf6b924a620a1f04b9a0debe33a537b64d927a229ec4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 10,116$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.5 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…6510backed Yes | 77c | 1,281$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…4b44backed Yes | 77c | 1,038$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 46c | 900.94$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 761.42$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.09 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 563.35$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.88 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.35 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 72c | 397$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.75 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed No | 32c | 332.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Yes | 48c | 307.11$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 53c | 285.21$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.72 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…a124backed Yes | 46c | 249.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 243.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 28c | 240.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 52c | 212$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 48c | 200.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 65c | 195.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 174.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 27c | 155.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 153.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Yes | 67c | 145.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 131$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Yes | 77c | 124.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 46c | 119.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Yes | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 49c | 98.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked No | 56c | 90.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…73a3backed No | 20c | 88.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 55c | 84.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Yes | 43c | 71.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 71.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Yes | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafcb…19b1backed Yes | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 42c | 68.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 68.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 46c | 65.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 70c | 60.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 32c | 60.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 51c | 55.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Yes | 63c | 50.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 48.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed No | 61c | 46.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 39c | 45.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Yes | 48c | 40.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 53c | 40.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 74c | 38.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 47c | 33.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…4367backed Yes | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed No | 43c | 29.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Yes | 46c | 29.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked Yes | 52c | 27.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 55c | 27.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 55c | 27.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 55c | 27.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 60c | 24.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 52c | 22.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 57c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 57c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.