TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,384 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c16,495$5,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,222.162,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.981553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under20c6,807$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.891,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0007358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under2c4,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick5cpaid+1,112.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Over54c1,801$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c1,578$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.7419154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c1,258$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.1632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under31c1,234$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.475166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under47c1,206$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.655754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under16c1,203$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under50c1,164$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.454746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…206dbacked Over74c1,113$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under47c1,076$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.5614651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Under54c1,070$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.611225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over49c999.8$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.910940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c999.06$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c949.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick39cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under26c872.53$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Under48c871.92$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.527749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c823.01$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.7615244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c823.01$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.7614752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under51c823.01$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.765054%27 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c799.96$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.9841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c761$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.069652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under44c669.68$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under61c649.35$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.119952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under47c606.57$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.097163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37813636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over49c593.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.692161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over52c581.2$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.9740447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under47c515$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.058453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under63c512.48$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.671560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under46c506.98$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.214748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under35c490.77$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6610451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over45c452.83$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.064736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.795939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Over53c358.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.46955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Under49c297.12$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under48c290.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.512466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd0…ea87backed Over52c281.65$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c82…7297backed Under49c276.28$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over41c268.61$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.488744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over53c267.7$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.824658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under15c265.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8651139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over47c232.78$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.375242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under61c216.45$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0311346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.825170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under47c200.91$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.433056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under46c198.12$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.138360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.943040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over52c187.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over63c172.28$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.741540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c170.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.994555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c159.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9532854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafcb…19b1backed Over77c126.8$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c125.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6739354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over41c122.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.541553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over61c120.29$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.391963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba0d…dd6bbacked Over52c107.73$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over79c103.56$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4113653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4110358.3%60 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under48c101.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.432268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…54d1backed Over54c100.91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301580%12 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4613146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under48c98.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.475653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under60c97.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.562250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c96.58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Under40c93.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.911973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Under36c93.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6610147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0910951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccd…8377backed Over74c83.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under24c77.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6749137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5217058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.862839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Under26c74.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.291952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over57c69.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.368232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2413…2442backed Under59c67.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.73887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over65c60.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0926744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over53c58.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.44566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.17950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over68c53.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65d…616dbacked Under55c53.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Under48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.221070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.55843.1%25 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over76c49.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under48c49.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.761764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under47c49.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.241258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Over69c49.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.211675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.