TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c45…0ac6backed Over24c19,880$4,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,762.3440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c13,796$5,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,503.821,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c12,122$8,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,213.092,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under61c8,359$5,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,260.653863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under76c6,351$4,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.367160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over26c5,073$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.863023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over31c3,945$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.287424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under65c3,101$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.7346742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over56c2,269$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.7832650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under76c2,216$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.319952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over26c2,154$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.976328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under56c1,784$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.866245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under78c1,549$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.795162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under75c1,315$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3411346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under48c1,218$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.275166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under45c1,160$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.22955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under76c1,095$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.814651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over56c820.81$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.662152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over38c777.38$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Under74c733.2$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.67955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under65c714.27$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed Under72c698.94$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.132661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Over56c695.43$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under72c682.78$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.185054%27 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over55c629.99$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.514748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over35c599.9$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9615450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under72c552.44$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.327163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under67c512.04$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.97785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under74c451.31$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6410451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Under65c445.95$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.946850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over39c441.27$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.849137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under65c407.9$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.391172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007138%27 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over30c373.62$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0913826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a95…c382backed Over40c329.67$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Under65c301.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f3…1732backed Over29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8750%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under79c280.28$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.77785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62f0…17cfbacked Under71c276.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.27650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under65c271.57$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.637042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over30c255.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+146.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over15c253.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5618125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over26c243.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3116340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over56c233.77$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.911540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Over46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.761618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over39c199.52$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.163360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over56c189.92$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.362528%7 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2080…6d80backed Over52c183.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over37c182.62$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.358744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c180.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9641144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over21c179.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.87051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8719042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over53c160.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.814551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Under74c143.52$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.321952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under66c134.58$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c134.34$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.833571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over28c116.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.624555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Under72c113.07$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.661471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over25c106.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7131958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over49c105.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.576063.3%38 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over23c102.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.139561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over34c102.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0615244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over24c95.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.914632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under72c89.9$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3919154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.934553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over33c84.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8813653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over33c82.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.094746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under71c78.45$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.862268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c78.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9151139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over38c75.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8914231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over29c74.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.545450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over33c72.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9514752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over31c68.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.094740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over36c66.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.042755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Under78c63.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under69c62.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5240447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccd…8377backed Over57c61.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.93225%8 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf75b…ed74backed Over32c57.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under65c53.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.731738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over57c51.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.234334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over47c49.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.247262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over42c45.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.121758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over56c43.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.341225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.35922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-62.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Under74c40.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.581070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over44c40.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811360.2%68 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Over51c40.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.352763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Under77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.213752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4716526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbea…e77bbacked Under65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7569…ac76backed Under39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+62.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over60c28.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.24911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-84.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef9c…7b3fbacked Over35c28.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.