Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05189eaed0c13cc5765073906e9fb3ef98165f3ea1bf1c1e298189d46621923c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,800$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 26c | 759.51$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.28 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…a647backed Yes | 27c | 748.14$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.68 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 6c | 547.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 23c | 477.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 75c | 474.97$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 16c | 412.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 28c | 298.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 24c | 279.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…6008backed Yes | 13c | 228.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…5c95backed Yes | 28c | 226.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 23c | 212.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 6c | 200.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 186.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 8c | 167.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 27c | 156.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes | 32c | 154.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…e1c6backed No | 74c | 153.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 16c | 150.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 15c | 142.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Yes | 28c | 138.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…b05ebacked Yes | 27c | 138.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ef…3fe0backed No | 79c | 136.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 17c | 130.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 16c | 127.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 68c | 120.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…32cdbacked No | 76c | 118.53$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc017…9f26backed Yes | 25c | 110.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…fc45backed Yes | 18c | 109.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 28c | 108.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…9534backed Yes | 30c | 107.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…121ebacked Yes | 33c | 106.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 30c | 100.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x704d…aceebacked Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 74c | 98.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 29c | 96.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 19c | 91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…c678backed Yes | 26c | 89.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 77c | 89.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…108fbacked Yes | 17c | 88.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 27c | 88.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 26c | 86.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…9832backed Yes | 28c | 77.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 30c | 77.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3683…1bb0backed Yes | 24c | 76.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 23c | 73.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 19c | 72.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 25c | 71.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 71.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…28a8backed Yes | 28c | 66.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…ae7bbacked Yes | 23c | 64.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 78c | 64.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5c3ebacked Yes | 20c | 61.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb954…c00dbacked No | 79c | 61.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…c74abacked Yes | 27c | 61.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3827…5455backed Yes | 32c | 61.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa3…0d65backed No | 80c | 61.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 72c | 57.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 20c | 55.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…f553backed Yes | 22c | 54.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 22c | 49.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 26c | 49.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ff…b5f3backed Yes | 27c | 48.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 29c | 46.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc50a…72fbbacked Yes | 27c | 45.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes | 29c | 43.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bcf9backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 73c | 39.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabc6…acb4backed No | 79c | 39.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…d85bbacked Yes | 31c | 39.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 77c | 38.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 35.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed No | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…bc23backed No | 71c | 32.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…7d65backed No | 78c | 31.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 69c | 30.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 75c | 29.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…eab4backed No | 76c | 28.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…36d1backed No | 78c | 28.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…89e0backed No | 76c | 26.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 72c | 21.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked No | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…ab6fbacked No | 71c | 19.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc7…e29cbacked No | 74c | 16.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 76c | 16.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…95d4backed No | 71c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 74c | 14.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.