Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61b421e10c98d64ca223a41976245beeb69f97c6b5a326948bbdbcabdcf03015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 1c | 2,027$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 24c | 1,837$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.86 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 20c | 1,452$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…f52ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,345$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 11c | 901.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 3c | 774.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 70 | 8.6%6 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…a647backed Yes | 21c | 735.58$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.66 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Yes | 24c | 559.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 554.51$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc6…67d8backed Yes | 9c | 418.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 24c | 397.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 29c | 309.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…465cbacked Yes | 22c | 266.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 13c | 261.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 23c | 246.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 243.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 20c | 192.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 22c | 177.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 21c | 176.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 77c | 175.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 173.02$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3683…1bb0backed Yes | 29c | 159.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 22c | 154.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 29c | 145.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 19c | 143.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked Yes | 15c | 138.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 19c | 130.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 14c | 129.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…ae7bbacked Yes | 20c | 129.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…9534backed Yes | 25c | 109.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 24c | 107.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 23c | 106.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5c3ebacked Yes | 22c | 96.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed Yes | 31c | 93.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 19c | 87.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 22c | 87.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 14c | 85.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…8faabacked No | 77c | 83.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…23a6backed No | 78c | 83.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 27c | 76.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 19c | 75.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ff…b5f3backed Yes | 19c | 74.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 18c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 34c | 70.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 76c | 69.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…9452backed Yes | 28c | 69.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc017…9f26backed Yes | 27c | 69.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 73c | 64.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5771…b356backed No | 78c | 62.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 73c | 58.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 74c | 57.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 76c | 57.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 69c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 20c | 52.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…4dc9backed Yes | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 30c | 51.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…651abacked Yes | 28c | 50.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…33d3backed Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…eed5backed Yes | 26c | 45.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 28c | 42.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…1675backed No | 68c | 42.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…0c7ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…fc45backed Yes | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…bc23backed No | 78c | 34.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed No | 72c | 32.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…d646backed No | 75c | 31.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc6…acb4backed No | 78c | 31.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 76c | 27.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 74c | 25.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd279…6838backed No | 75c | 24.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…3257backed No | 80c | 24.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…87f2backed No | 80c | 23.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf942…e4eebacked No | 75c | 23.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbadf…9abebacked No | 75c | 21.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked No | 74c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa915…93c7backed No | 78c | 18.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 77c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 74c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901e…7389backed No | 79c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.