Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fe8398b61fdd6a26527623dc1e9ab3fd37a410d63d586c0856655e9c19a8ce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 2c | 2,934$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked No | 70c | 2,667$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.97 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc11…3636backed No | 7c | 2,200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 30c | 1,800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.99 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 69c | 905.86$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.06 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 30c | 652.33$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.78 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 28c | 597.12$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.07 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 30c | 529.91$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…8b8bbacked No | 65c | 511.58$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339e…be97backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +197%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 30c | 450.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.89 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Yes | 28c | 448.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.39 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…1343backed Yes | 59c | 418.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…296ebacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 28c | 376.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 317.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.68 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 32c | 313.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 208.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…f62ebacked Yes | 28c | 179.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked No | 76c | 172.27$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 30c | 170.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 25c | 170$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 51c | 131.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…ba00backed Yes | 28c | 114.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2894…33c5backed No | 79c | 101.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 38c | 95.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 33c | 92.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x994c…36afbacked Yes | 28c | 89.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 34c | 75.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c2…0c32backed No | 62c | 72.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked Yes | 39c | 66.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 70c | 57.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…2ab0backed Yes | 32c | 55.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…c9ecbacked No | 73c | 51.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ea…2da8backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked No | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b9…0893backed No | 74c | 44.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Yes | 55c | 43.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…5517backed Yes | 35c | 38.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…8df2backed No | 75c | 34.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 68c | 34.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…db59backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8892…74bdbacked Yes | 74c | 29.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 4 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of May 4 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 4 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.